NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	6.1 [622]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +15.0%
Detroit Pistons	105		Comeback	1.2 [604]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -7.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	5	117%	0.16	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	11	75%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Metta World Peace	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	17	62%	0.16	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Rafer Alston	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.02	11	54%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Von Wafer	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	80%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Brent Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	14	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	15	69%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	21	59%	0.15	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.06
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Kwame Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.10	0.01	12	58%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.4	29.6	18.4	31.4	2.8	30.9	142.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +18.0%

HOU +17.9%

HOU +9.9%

DET -1.4%

HOU +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DET	NBA	HOU	DET	NBA
this game	18.0	16.9	15.5	131.7	126.5	106.4
season	16.3	16.9		105.9	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.2		106.2	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.1	18.8	16.2	22.3	18.0
DET	18.3	13.9	18.9	16.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	65	67	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.24	15	-12	27	17.6	19.4	-1.81	17.9	12.8	5.11
Tracy McGrady	62	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-7	17	17.9	18.1	-0.23	17.6	14.9	2.69
Von Wafer	28	28	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	-4	11	16.9	18.6	-1.70	14.6	18.1	-3.52
Shane Battier	55	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	2	-1	17.9	18.1	-0.26	18.1	14.6	3.53
Metta World Peace	57	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	0	3	18.3	17.2	1.12	18.1	14.3	3.83
Carl Landry	37	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	2	-1	18.4	17.6	0.83	15.2	18.3	-3.11
Charles Hayes	24	25	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	4	-5	16.6	18.5	-1.91	14.9	17.8	-2.89
Luis Scola	54	55	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	2	-1	18.6	16.8	1.75	18.0	14.8	3.20
Brent Barry	11	11	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.12	-10	13	-23	18.3	17.9	0.34	12.1	17.7	-5.59
Aaron Brooks	17	16	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.17	-12	15	-27	19.4	17.6	1.81	12.8	17.9	-5.11

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	30	30	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.25	12	-15	27	14.7	18.2	-3.51	19.0	17.4	1.62
Antonio McDyess	43	41	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-13	23	15.0	19.0	-4.02	20.4	15.5	4.88
Amir Johnson	14	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-3	3	20.9	16.1	4.80	17.5	18.1	-0.62
Kwame Brown	10	9	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.16	-12	9	-21	21.2	16.4	4.84	12.9	18.6	-5.71
Rasheed Wallace	65	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.40	4	-7	11	17.4	15.3	2.05	18.0	17.9	0.12
Allen Iverson	62	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-5	2	-7	17.0	16.7	0.37	16.6	22.1	-5.45
Rodney Stuckey	50	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-3	3	18.6	14.4	4.28	18.3	17.4	0.88
Richard Hamilton	54	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-2	1	15.3	20.1	-4.81	19.2	15.8	3.43
Jason Maxiell	34	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	5	-13	15.6	17.8	-2.19	16.6	19.0	-2.42
Tayshaun Prince	53	52	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.23	-15	12	-27	18.2	14.7	3.51	17.4	19.0	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.25,0.19,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 110, DEN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.6%
SAS 102, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	92.6%
PHX 91, CLE 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.22,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.2%