NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	102		Excitement	5.1 [802]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +14.1%
Sacramento Kings	94		Comeback	1.1 [504]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): -16.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	-0.03	0.07	-0.11	24	50%	0.13	2	0.01	8	50%	-0.02
Bruce Bowen	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	10	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	11	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	13	59%	0.06	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.02
Devin Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.04	9	57%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	67%	0.12	1	-0.04	10	80%	0.04
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	9	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.06	-0.03	0.03	10	69%	0.04	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	0.06	18	48%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	14	36%	-0.09	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	10	24%	-0.09	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.4	31.4	16.6	26.4	4.5	43.4	150.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +57.0%

SAC -14.3%

SAC -4.1%

SAS +12.1%

SAC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.7	110.9	104.4	100.5
season	15.9	14.7		100.1	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.0	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.1	17.2	15.6	14.8	15.8
SAC	16.6	17.9	16.5	12.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	87	85	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-2	12	15.8	16.6	-0.80	15.7	17.0	-1.27
Bruce Bowen	52	52	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-10	28	16.6	14.9	1.63	17.5	13.5	3.94
Hedo Turkoglu	76	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-1	10	15.9	15.6	0.35	15.8	15.7	0.14
Tony Parker	68	67	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	6	-4	16.2	14.8	1.37	16.1	15.0	1.07
Manu Ginobili	55	54	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	11	-14	15.3	16.6	-1.29	14.4	18.0	-3.62
Charlie Ward	24	23	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	2	4	14.8	16.2	-1.37	15.0	16.1	-1.07
Robert Horry	44	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	13	-18	15.1	16.5	-1.36	13.8	17.6	-3.80
Rasho Nesterovic	47	47	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.08	4	4	0	16.8	14.9	1.92	17.9	13.5	4.34
Devin Brown	7	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	12.7	16.1	-3.39	12.6	16.0	-3.39

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	8	7	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-13	18	16.2	15.8	0.49	17.3	15.7	1.56
Tony Massenburg	23	23	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.13	5	-13	18	15.3	16.0	-0.67	16.7	15.6	1.19
Anthony Peeler	54	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.33	5	-13	18	14.7	17.4	-2.69	15.5	16.4	-0.84
Bobby Jackson	38	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-2	-4	16.6	15.2	1.44	15.1	16.4	-1.22
Doug Christie	34	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	3	-14	17.0	15.1	1.93	16.2	15.6	0.61
Vlade Divac	72	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-1	-6	16.1	14.8	1.28	16.1	14.8	1.34
Mike Bibby	67	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	15.8	15.8	-0.04	16.1	15.0	1.15
Brad Miller	72	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	4	-16	15.7	16.1	-0.32	15.3	18.5	-3.21
Peja Stojakovic	82	85	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.26	-12	4	-16	15.6	18.2	-2.69	15.9	15.4	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 103, NYK 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
SAS 99, GSW 90	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0,0,0	93.9%
CHH 106, ATL 82	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.34,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%