NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	90		Excitement	4.3 [973]		MVP	Glen Davis (BOS): +10.4%
Orlando Magic	80		Comeback	1.3 [409]		LVP	Courtney Lee (ORL): -13.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.01	8	80%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	18	54%	0.10	2	-0.03	14	79%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	13	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	43%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	10	41%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gabe Pruitt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	15	58%	0.14	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.03	14	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.03
Marcin Gortat	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	10	46%	-0.00	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	0.07	16	47%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	4.3	32.0	20.0	31.1	1.6	37.2	153.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +21.4%

BOS +8.6%

BOS +10.3%

BOS +8.3%

BOS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	17.5	17.0	15.5	105.9	97.6	106.4
season	15.8	15.3		108.3	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.6		101.4	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.6	15.1	17.8	21.2	17.5
ORL	18.5	17.0	15.6	16.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	70	67	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	2	6	17.1	19.4	-2.30	17.0	16.7	0.30
Paul Pierce	75	75	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	1	8	18.0	13.5	4.54	17.1	16.0	1.07
Ray Allen	69	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	1	8	17.1	19.2	-2.07	16.7	18.1	-1.37
Kevin Garnett	64	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	5	0	17.0	19.1	-2.11	17.1	16.7	0.36
Glen Davis	36	35	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	7	-4	19.7	15.9	3.89	15.8	17.9	-2.05
Kendrick Perkins	45	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	7	-4	16.6	18.5	-1.88	17.2	16.7	0.54
Leon Powe	12	11	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	6	-2	17.1	17.6	-0.49	21.1	16.3	4.75
Eddie House	31	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	8	-6	17.7	17.4	0.27	17.2	16.9	0.31
Brian Scalabrine	13	12	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	5	0	17.3	17.5	-0.23	15.2	17.3	-2.02
Gabe Pruitt	10	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	8	-6	18.5	17.4	1.13	17.2	16.9	0.22

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	19	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-8	6	16.5	17.1	-0.65	19.0	17.0	1.95
Keith Bogans	16	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-5	0	17.1	16.9	0.19	18.0	17.4	0.62
Marcin Gortat	17	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.15	-9	-1	-8	13.5	17.9	-4.42	15.9	17.9	-2.03
Tony Battie	24	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-10	10	15.1	17.7	-2.62	17.7	17.4	0.34
JJ Redick	43	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-14	18	17.3	16.6	0.78	17.4	17.7	-0.32
Hedo Turkoglu	68	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-6	2	16.5	19.1	-2.61	17.0	20.4	-3.40
Courtney Lee	32	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	3	-16	17.9	16.4	1.53	17.5	17.5	0.07
Dwight Howard	64	67	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-6	2	18.0	13.2	4.81	17.9	16.1	1.84
Jameer Nelson	63	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-2	-6	17.1	16.5	0.65	17.0	19.0	-1.95
Rashard Lewis	64	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	-1	-8	17.3	15.9	1.32	18.0	16.0	1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 90, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.9%
TOR 132, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.49,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
UTA 102, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%