NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	7.0 [430]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +20.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	86		Comeback	1.0 [1127]		LVP	Al Thornton (LAC): -23.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.19	0.03	0.14	-0.02	21	45%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.01	13	54%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.00	0.02	14	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	11	71%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	7	31%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	9	27%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.07	-0.04	19	62%	0.25	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.04	0.00	10	78%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	57%	0.12	3	-0.13	2	0%	-0.06
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	38%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	10	33%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	18	33%	-0.21	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	28.4	14.6	24.3	2.4	32.5	128.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +23.6%

LAC -2.1%

MIN +1.5%

MIN +24.0%

MIN +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.5	18.2	15.5	109.3	101.2	106.4
season	15.8	15.7		104.3	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.1		109.8	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.2	15.0	16.1	16.8	15.5
LAC	20.1	15.0	19.1	19.2	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	69	67	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.03	22	-14	36	15.1	16.9	-1.81	17.7	19.9	-2.20
Sebastian Telfair	62	61	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.19	16	-8	24	15.2	16.3	-1.17	18.8	16.8	1.92
Craig Smith	49	48	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-7	22	15.7	15.2	0.43	19.1	17.0	2.10
Randy Foye	73	72	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-3	14	15.8	14.0	1.75	18.1	18.6	-0.48
Ryan Gomes	56	56	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	-4	16	15.4	15.6	-0.22	17.3	20.0	-2.77
Mike Miller	51	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.31	-7	15	-22	15.5	15.5	0.05	17.9	18.7	-0.76
Brian Cardinal	8	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	14	-20	16.5	15.4	1.12	20.4	17.9	2.50
Rodney Carney	24	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.04	-7	15	-22	15.4	15.5	-0.10	18.5	18.1	0.40
Kevin Love	38	38	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.29	-16	24	-40	15.8	15.2	0.63	18.2	18.2	0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	48	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-15	22	17.0	19.8	-2.78	15.2	15.8	-0.63
Fred Jones	46	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.35	9	-17	26	17.0	19.7	-2.74	15.9	14.9	0.97
Ricky Davis	36	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-7	6	19.0	17.7	1.32	15.2	15.7	-0.46
Mardy Collins	44	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	7	-22	19.2	17.1	2.15	15.2	15.8	-0.63
DeAndre Jordan	57	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	18.9	16.7	2.23	16.3	13.9	2.42
Eric Gordon	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	3	-14	18.0	19.7	-1.63	15.3	16.7	-1.37
Al Thornton	51	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	3	-14	18.9	17.2	1.73	15.6	15.3	0.28
Brian Skinner	67	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	4	-16	17.9	19.4	-1.49	15.1	16.8	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.18,0	93.1%
WAS 109, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.07,0.02,0	93.1%
WAS 103, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.12,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.15,0,0	93.1%