NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	109		Excitement	11.7 [20]		MVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): +62.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	3.7 [177]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -47.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0.62	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.62	0.10	0.53	0.01	18	64%	0.76	3	-0.14	8	87%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	11	67%	0.18	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.11
JJ Redick	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	14	41%	0.04	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	18	48%	0.04	6	-0.26	16	56%	-0.24

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.04	0.23	-0.02	11	57%	0.35	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.22
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19	0.19	-0.03	0.19	-0.02	13	43%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	9	83%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	11	37%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.47	-0.47	-0.10	-0.39	-0.01	26	47%	-0.29	6	-0.18	8	87%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.5	31.3	19.8	31.5	1.5	43.5	156.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +101.0%

LAL -22.1%

LAL -2.3%

LAL -35.2%

ORL +8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAL	NBA	ORL	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.7	15.5	109.0	104.0	106.4
season	15.3	14.9		107.3	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		102.6	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.8	14.6	14.1	13.5	14.2
LAL	17.3	14.2	13.6	14.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	85	84	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.33	17	-11	28	14.0	15.3	-1.22	14.6	15.3	-0.73
Jameer Nelson	72	72	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.32	16	-10	26	13.8	15.3	-1.47	14.8	14.5	0.27
Dwight Howard	83	83	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-3	12	14.2	14.4	-0.15	14.8	14.3	0.48
Courtney Lee	80	78	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-1	8	14.0	15.3	-1.34	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Hedo Turkoglu	84	86	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-1	8	13.8	16.7	-2.93	14.4	16.5	-2.10
JJ Redick	20	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	7	-8	15.3	14.0	1.34	15.0	14.7	0.30
Marcin Gortat	17	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	9	-12	14.4	14.2	0.15	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Anthony Johnson	28	27	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.01	-10	16	-26	15.3	13.8	1.47	14.5	14.8	-0.27
Tony Battie	31	28	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.02	-12	18	-30	16.0	13.4	2.57	15.9	14.3	1.64

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	28	29	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.04	5	-11	16	13.4	15.3	-1.90	15.0	13.9	1.08
Lamar Odom	61	61	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.27	10	-16	26	14.0	15.8	-1.74	14.6	13.6	0.97
Trevor Ariza	41	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-8	10	14.9	14.6	0.36	15.1	13.6	1.51
Vladimir Radmanovic	56	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	1	-8	15.0	14.4	0.57	13.8	14.8	-0.92
Pau Gasol	69	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	2	-10	14.6	15.0	-0.41	13.7	15.6	-1.91
Andrew Bynum	67	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	6	-18	15.6	13.0	2.58	14.7	13.2	1.44
Kobe Bryant	86	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	2	-10	14.6	15.5	-0.95	14.0	15.5	-1.42
Derek Fisher	87	86	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	6	-18	14.9	13.1	1.86	13.8	16.7	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.29,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.55,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, GSW 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.52,0.43,0.42,0	89.9%
BOS 87, BKN 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.42,0	89.9%
NYK 107, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.37,0.17,0.42,0	89.6%