NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	107		Excitement	10.9 [40]		MVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): +60.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	4.1 [203]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -42.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.60	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.6	0.13	0.49	0.02	12	68%	0.60	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Jamal Crawford	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	17	63%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
David Lee	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.09	0.00	6	75%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Steve Francis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	14	45%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Malik Rose	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.24	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.04,-0.24	-0.01	-0.24	-0.01	14	59%	-0.02	5	-0.22	4	50%	-0.03
Stephon Marbury	-0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.3,-0.3	-0.13	-0.18	-0.01	7	42%	0.02	6	-0.32	5	80%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.1,-0.01,0.35	0.35	0.11	0.22	-0.02	20	61%	0.43	1	-0.08	11	100%	0.17
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.14	-0.00	10	67%	0.25	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.09	-0.00	5	92%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	32%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.13,-0.42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.00	12	48%	-0.17	5	-0.26	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	31.1	16.4	27.3	2.6	39.2	143.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +52.3%

LAL -20.0%

NYK +6.4%

NYK +4.7%

NYK +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAL	NBA	NYK	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	16.9	15.4	117.6	117.8	104.5
season	15.7	15.3		103.7	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.4		107.3	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.1	14.2	13.3	16.1	14.9
LAL	17.4	17.1	18.0	15.2	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	69	69	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.46	9	-8	17	14.8	15.4	-0.58	16.8	17.3	-0.49
Stephon Marbury	64	64	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.54	4	-3	7	14.9	15.0	-0.06	17.1	16.5	0.58
Quentin Richardson	76	74	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.52	2	-1	3	15.1	14.1	0.95	16.8	17.6	-0.79
Channing Frye	58	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-12	25	13.6	17.3	-3.78	17.1	16.7	0.40
David Lee	56	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	2	-3	14.7	15.2	-0.45	16.0	18.3	-2.30
Nate Robinson	12	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	1	-1	16.3	14.7	1.62	15.9	17.1	-1.14
Jared Jeffries	25	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.22	-8	9	-17	15.5	14.7	0.77	18.3	16.4	1.95
Eddy Curry	56	58	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	3	-5	15.6	13.8	1.87	17.1	16.6	0.54
Jerome James	6	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	4	-7	18.2	14.7	3.47	17.4	16.9	0.52
Malik Rose	1	0	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	4	-7	1.0	15.1	-14.08	0.0	16.9	-16.91
Steve Francis	32	31	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.04	-6	7	-13	15.3	14.7	0.55	17.3	16.7	0.53

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	17	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	1	-3	16.7	17.0	-0.25	12.2	15.7	-3.49
Sasha Vujacic	17	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	0	-1	18.0	16.7	1.34	15.8	14.7	1.07
Ronny Turiaf	34	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-1	1	17.8	16.4	1.42	15.4	14.6	0.73
Jordan Farmar	27	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	3	-7	18.1	16.4	1.66	15.1	14.8	0.32
Vladimir Radmanovic	41	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	5	-11	16.9	16.9	-0.02	13.5	16.1	-2.55
Maurice Evans	49	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-6	11	16.9	16.9	0.02	16.1	13.5	2.55
Smush Parker	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-4	7	16.4	18.1	-1.66	14.8	15.1	-0.32
Andrew Bynum	49	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-3	5	16.5	17.4	-0.97	15.6	14.1	1.54
Kobe Bryant	73	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-1	1	16.7	18.0	-1.34	14.7	15.8	-1.07
Lamar Odom	80	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	1	-3	16.8	17.4	-0.55	14.9	14.7	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.37,0.17,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 104, SEA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.23,0.41,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.36,0.22,0.09,0	91.8%
ORL 94, LAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.61,0.47,0.54,0.23,0.42,0	91.6%
LAL 92, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.42,0	90.9%