NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	8.9 [131]		MVP	Rodney Carney (MIN): +28.9%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	6.4 [62]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -25.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Carney	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29	0.14	0.15	-0.00	10	77%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Craig Smith	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.01	10	75%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.08	-0.03	0.09	-0.02	17	41%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	21	49%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.08	0.04	-0.03	14	45%	0.12	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Brian Cardinal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	12	45%	0.05	2	-0.07	5	60%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	6	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.15	0.00	14	67%	0.29	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	13	67%	0.18	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.09	-0.04	15	56%	0.22	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.05
Alando Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2	-0.20	-0.05	-0.11	0.04	11	36%	-0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.2,-0.26	-0.26	-0.08	-0.16	0.02	8	37%	-0.06	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.5	25.3	15.5	27.4	2.5	37.2	132.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +17.3%

PHX -6.9%

MIN +5.8%

MIN +28.3%

MIN +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.5	110.5	109.6	106.4
season	15.8	14.1		104.3	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.9	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.9	16.7	15.4	15.5	15.6
PHX	14.5	17.6	13.4	14.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	46	46	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.48	10	-8	18	14.8	16.3	-1.54	16.3	13.5	2.76
Kevin Love	50	51	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	-2	6	15.4	15.8	-0.38	15.9	13.7	2.12
Sebastian Telfair	77	75	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.51	-3	5	-8	16.3	12.6	3.73	14.5	16.6	-2.11
Randy Foye	70	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	1	0	15.4	16.0	-0.63	15.0	14.6	0.42
Al Jefferson	69	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	1	0	15.6	15.7	-0.10	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Mike Miller	45	44	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	-6	14	14.8	16.3	-1.44	15.5	14.4	1.05
Craig Smith	50	50	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	2	-2	15.8	15.4	0.42	13.1	16.9	-3.79
Brian Cardinal	13	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	8	-14	16.7	15.4	1.29	19.2	14.3	4.99
Ryan Gomes	55	54	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.08	-5	7	-12	15.8	15.2	0.61	13.7	16.5	-2.80

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alando Tucker	12	12	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-6	10	19.2	14.3	4.99	17.2	15.3	1.91
Shaquille O'Neal	65	63	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.22	9	-11	20	13.8	17.3	-3.54	16.3	14.2	2.00
Lou Amundson	47	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	2	-6	15.9	13.9	1.96	15.0	16.2	-1.25
Leandro Barbosa	44	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	6	-14	15.7	14.2	1.57	15.0	16.1	-1.18
Grant Hill	47	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-2	2	14.1	15.7	-1.66	16.4	14.8	1.57
Matt Barnes	50	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	2	-6	15.9	13.8	2.11	15.0	16.2	-1.22
Jason Richardson	64	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-2	2	14.5	15.8	-1.33	15.4	16.0	-0.57
Steve Nash	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-2	2	14.0	17.3	-3.28	15.9	14.9	1.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	73	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	5	-12	15.1	14.2	0.91	15.3	16.7	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.26,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.29,0.55,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.33,0.28,0	90.2%
DEN 94, MEM 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.09,0	90.0%
LAL 100, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.19,0.45,0.08,0	89.9%