NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	8.9 [135]		MVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): +16.6%
Dallas Mavericks	99		Comeback	3.1 [659]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -25.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	59%	0.07	4	-0.12	6	83%	-0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,-0.09	0.15	-0.21	0.03	14	86%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.00	18	35%	0.00	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.11,-0.11	0.01	-0.13	0.00	16	57%	0.13	4	-0.25	3	67%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	16	28%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.14	-0.01	15	53%	0.21	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	55%	0.07	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.04
Antoine Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	81%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	48%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	3	100%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	15	59%	0.08	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26	-0.26	-0.10	-0.16	-0.00	13	33%	-0.20	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	26.3	16.4	27.1	1.4	30.6	128.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +29.7%

DAL +0.5%

NYK -5.4%

DAL +22.6%

DAL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	14.2	15.5	15.5	96.9	102.1	106.4
season	13.8	15.6		106.2	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		107.1	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.5	12.3	17.5	15.0	14.2
DAL	15.8	15.4	14.5	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-5	5	14.7	14.0	0.64	16.9	15.1	1.82
David Lee	76	76	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.39	9	-14	23	13.9	15.3	-1.46	16.1	13.5	2.59
Jared Jeffries	45	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-3	1	14.9	13.6	1.35	15.4	15.6	-0.22
Eddy Curry	6	5	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	4	-13	12.7	14.3	-1.62	12.2	15.7	-3.48
Wilson Chandler	77	78	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-9	13	14.0	14.8	-0.84	16.0	13.6	2.33
Al Harrington	64	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-2	-1	14.6	13.4	1.20	14.8	16.9	-2.08
Nate Robinson	52	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-1	-3	14.5	13.8	0.64	15.2	15.9	-0.78
Chris Duhon	76	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	3	-11	14.1	14.5	-0.43	15.5	15.6	-0.15
Tim Thomas	65	65	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.35	-12	7	-19	13.7	15.2	-1.50	15.2	16.2	-1.06

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	56	56	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.45	16	-11	27	14.7	16.6	-1.96	13.9	14.6	-0.65
Josh Howard	79	79	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.46	9	-4	13	15.4	16.2	-0.81	14.0	15.0	-1.00
Jason Terry	67	67	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-6	17	15.1	16.4	-1.25	13.7	15.2	-1.47
Jason Kidd	67	67	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.28	0	5	-5	15.8	14.8	1.07	14.3	13.9	0.37
Dirk Nowitzki	79	78	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.28	-1	6	-7	15.7	14.7	1.03	13.8	15.9	-2.13
Jose Juan Barea	35	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	3	-1	15.5	15.5	-0.03	14.1	14.2	-0.10
James Singleton	29	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	4	-3	15.7	15.4	0.26	14.8	13.9	0.84
Erick Dampier	30	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.03	-6	11	-17	16.4	15.1	1.25	15.2	13.7	1.47
Antoine Wright	43	44	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.06	-7	12	-19	15.9	15.2	0.68	15.1	13.4	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.59,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 90, MEM 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.59,1	91.3%
TOR 83, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.43,0.58,1	91.2%
MIN 110, LAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.84,0.73,1	90.9%