NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	96		Excitement	10.3 [55]		MVP	Keyon Dooling (NJN): +56.1%
Miami Heat	101		Comeback	4.7 [554]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -43.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.56	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.41,0.41,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56	0.16	0.41	0.01	14	74%	0.57	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Josh Boone	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.10	0.00	5	58%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Yi Jianlian	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	11	50%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Bobby Simmons	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	14	61%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.35,-0.35	-0.10	-0.27	-0.01	17	35%	-0.32	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.35,-0.35,-0.39,-0.44	-0.13	-0.29	0.02	21	38%	-0.32	5	-0.12	11	82%	0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.16	0.13	0.01	10	79%	0.29	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,0.14,0.08,0.08,-0.02,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.06	0.18	-0.00	23	46%	0.29	4	-0.16	17	76%	0.19
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	12	58%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	57%	0.18	2	-0.15	6	50%	-0.10
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	2	58%	0.01	2	-0.09	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.5	0.8	28.3	15.7	27.0	2.7	38.5	2.5	22.1	166.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +43.7%

MIA +24.1%

NJN -5.8%

NJN -8.1%

NJN -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIA	NBA	NJN	MIA	NBA
this game	17.4	15.2	15.5	98.0	104.1	106.4
season	16.0	16.0		106.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	16.2	17.3	19.9	18.9	13.2	17.4
MIA	15.1	14.8	17.9	14.5	12.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	42	41	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.03	2	-7	9	16.3	18.2	-1.93	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Trenton Hassell	25	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.17	-9	4	-13	15.6	18.0	-2.40	15.5	15.1	0.38
Yi Jianlian	70	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.44	8	-13	21	17.8	16.2	1.59	15.1	15.4	-0.30
Bobby Simmons	77	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-10	15	17.4	17.3	0.13	15.1	15.7	-0.67
Vince Carter	80	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-9	13	17.9	15.3	2.58	15.2	15.5	-0.31
Jarvis Hayes	30	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.10	-13	8	-21	16.7	17.7	-1.04	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Eduardo Najera	23	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	5	-15	16.6	17.6	-1.07	13.8	15.6	-1.80
Brook Lopez	56	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	-1	-3	18.2	16.3	1.93	15.5	14.8	0.68
Keyon Dooling	87	87	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.45	-8	3	-11	17.5	16.2	1.36	15.7	11.1	4.59

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Beasley	75	77	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.19	22	-17	39	14.5	17.8	-3.31	17.5	16.8	0.74
Udonis Haslem	72	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.55	-1	6	-7	15.1	15.6	-0.46	16.8	19.0	-2.11
Daequan Cook	69	70	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.58	-5	10	-15	15.6	14.4	1.21	17.2	17.7	-0.51
Dwyane Wade	78	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	5	-5	15.0	15.9	-0.91	17.3	17.6	-0.21
Yakhouba Diawara	53	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	-9	23	15.0	15.5	-0.56	18.8	15.7	3.06
Chris Quinn	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.04	9	-4	13	14.6	15.6	-1.01	16.0	18.2	-2.20
Jamaal Magloire	25	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.19	6	-1	7	15.6	15.1	0.46	19.0	16.8	2.11
Mario Chalmers	45	44	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.05	-8	13	-21	16.4	14.2	2.12	18.3	16.7	1.61
Joel Anthony	22	21	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.17	-17	22	-39	17.8	14.5	3.31	16.8	17.5	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.63,0.9,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 98, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.39,0.54,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.78,0.95,1	91.5%
LAC 96, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.99,1	89.7%
OKC 97, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.72,1	89.3%