inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 105 Excitement8.9 [141] MVPChris Paul (NOH): +40.6%
Indiana Pacers 103 Comeback8.1 [193] LVPJarrett Jack (IND): -11.2%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0.410,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.01,0.17,0.21,0.410.010.400.011553%0.493-0.08683%0.03
David West0.230,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.230.000.240.011747%0.251-0.024100%0.02
Rasual Butler0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.100.060.011168%0.1500.0000%0.00
James Posey0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.140.090.05-0.001166%0.252-0.11786%-0.02
Antonio Daniels0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.010.002150%0.0900.0000%0.00
Hilton Armstrong0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.00550%0.0300.002100%0.01
Tyson Chandler0.010,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.02-0.01835%0.0100.00729%-0.08
Sean Marks0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Devin Brown-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Peja Stojakovic-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.06-0.001250%-0.001-0.0500%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Granger0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.32,0.07,0.07,0.250.250.090.180.022364%0.515-0.26786%0.07
Travis Diener0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.080.090.004100%0.1700.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.06-0.00-0.001262%0.081-0.012100%0.01
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.002100%0.091-0.031100%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.030.03-0.060.090.00839%0.072-0.05250%-0.02
Roy Hibbert0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.001456%0.082-0.06683%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,00.00-0.030.03-0.00540%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.040.00117%-0.0700.00425%-0.08
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.040.01950%0.034-0.1500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.828.415.424.22.330.4127.7
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +14.4%
NOH +11.4%
IND -4.6%
NOH +30.7%
IND -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHINDNBANOHINDNBA
this game16.413.815.5109.4108.4106.4
season16.614.1105.9106.5
opponent15.315.6107.7106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH14.118.315.418.116.4
IND12.613.515.314.013.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Paul75740.78-0.281.070.529-71615.120.7-5.5813.614.6-1.06
Tyson Chandler63640.73-0.230.960.479-71615.717.6-1.9114.013.40.65
David West81810.62-0.120.730.446-41015.719.7-4.0013.714.3-0.58
James Posey48480.61-0.110.730.533-1417.215.51.6714.612.91.73
Peja Stojakovic74750.290.210.080.35-24-616.515.80.7013.216.0-2.86
Rasual Butler59590.130.37-0.24-0.077-51216.016.9-0.8713.913.60.38
Sean Marks97-0.040.54-0.580.02-24-617.916.21.6914.913.71.15
Devin Brown1715-0.110.61-0.720.07-68-1416.616.30.3613.513.8-0.38
Hilton Armstrong3331-0.230.73-0.96-0.03-79-1617.615.71.9113.414.0-0.65
Antonio Daniels2121-0.280.78-1.07-0.08-79-1620.715.15.5814.613.61.06

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Rush44450.21-0.710.910.065-71214.213.40.8616.815.90.88
Roy Hibbert36370.10-0.600.690.042-4613.214.2-0.9615.516.9-1.32
Travis Diener3233-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-3414.413.50.8816.516.30.20
Rasho Nesterovic3636-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-31-414.313.50.8816.616.20.46
Danny Granger7677-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.380-2214.112.71.3216.914.32.54
Troy Murphy8179-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.38-1-1013.316.8-3.5116.515.70.79
Jarrett Jack6363-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.34-31-413.514.4-0.8816.316.5-0.20
Jeff Foster3740-0.540.04-0.58-0.48-20-215.013.01.9416.616.20.38
Marquis Daniels7070-0.830.33-1.15-0.56-97-1613.215.4-2.1915.518.7-3.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.6,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.7,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.22,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 82, WAS 810.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.78,0.67,0.43,090.4%
PHI 84, MIN 820.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.26,090.3%
POR 103, MIN 960.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.35,0.08,090.0%