NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	88		Excitement	7.3 [374]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DET): +43.2%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	1.7 [1068]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -13.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.27	0.05	0.22	-0.00	7	60%	0.27	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.26	0.08	0.20	0.02	19	57%	0.29	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Robert Swift	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Kyle Weaver	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	11	45%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	14	34%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	13	47%	0.02	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.06

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.43	0.43	0.01	0.40	-0.02	17	58%	0.55	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.15	0.00	8	50%	0.19	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.02	-0.08	15	50%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	14	43%	0.09	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	13	31%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.7	26.1	17.7	25.2	2.7	36.3	134.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +35.9%

DET +9.4%

OKC -0.3%

DET +6.8%

OKC -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DET	NBA	OKC	DET	NBA
this game	13.7	16.3	15.5	91.7	93.8	106.4
season	14.9	16.9		100.5	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.1		106.2	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.5	15.9	13.4	12.0	13.7
DET	15.2	14.8	15.5	20.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	64	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.30	6	-8	14	14.3	12.5	1.73	16.8	15.4	1.41
Kyle Weaver	28	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	0	-2	11.5	14.6	-3.14	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Joe Smith	50	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-5	8	13.5	13.9	-0.43	16.2	16.5	-0.28
Desmond Mason	64	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.32	6	-8	14	13.9	13.3	0.61	16.5	15.9	0.60
Robert Swift	28	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-2	2	13.4	13.8	-0.37	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Jeff Green	78	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.49	6	-8	14	14.0	12.5	1.46	17.3	11.5	5.78
Chris Wilcox	45	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	5	-12	13.9	13.5	0.42	16.4	16.2	0.18
Kevin Durant	82	82	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	4	-10	13.8	13.1	0.64	15.9	18.8	-2.90
Earl Watson	41	39	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.09	-16	14	-30	13.5	13.9	-0.39	15.1	17.2	-2.08

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	76	79	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.69	0	2	-2	17.2	12.9	4.25	13.1	16.3	-3.17
Amir Johnson	24	27	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	-4	10	18.3	15.6	2.69	13.0	14.0	-1.01
Antonio McDyess	46	46	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	3	-4	17.4	15.3	2.03	13.9	13.5	0.47
Rodney Stuckey	62	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	-2	6	15.7	17.4	-1.61	13.5	14.1	-0.67
Tayshaun Prince	80	81	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.48	-6	8	-14	17.0	12.9	4.05	13.1	17.0	-3.93
Rasheed Wallace	70	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	2	-2	15.7	18.0	-2.37	13.6	13.9	-0.33
Richard Hamilton	61	58	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	-3	8	14.9	18.8	-3.91	14.5	12.4	2.05
Arron Afflalo	43	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	0	2	16.4	16.3	0.11	14.8	12.8	1.99
Kwame Brown	7	7	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	0	2	13.6	16.5	-2.96	16.1	13.5	2.65
Jason Maxiell	11	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	4	-6	13.2	16.7	-3.54	14.9	13.5	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.86,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 81, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
IND 91, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.8%
WAS 101, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%