NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	97		Excitement	4.3 [959]		MVP	Devin Harris (NJN): +22.3%
New Jersey Nets	121		Comeback	1.2 [510]		LVP	Josh Howard (DAL): -5.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.03	11	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.07	4	62%	0.07	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	17	62%	0.10	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	19	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	13	77%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	13	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.04	0.02	25	71%	0.30	4	-0.08	8	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.25	0.03	0.07	18	77%	0.23	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.03
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	8	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	15	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	30.0	14.8	24.8	2.5	26.6	123.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +39.9%

DAL -3.1%

NJN +12.6%

NJN +3.0%

DAL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NJN	NBA	DAL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.0	15.5	15.5	99.0	124.7	106.4
season	15.6	16.0		108.9	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.4		108.9	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.0	14.6	14.9	12.8	14.0
NJN	13.2	14.8	16.4	18.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	7.9	14.5	-6.66	19.6	15.1	4.49
James Singleton	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	7.9	14.5	-6.66	19.6	15.1	4.49
Shawne Williams	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-22	20	11.5	14.5	-2.96	19.1	14.9	4.17
Josh Howard	63	61	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.12	-8	-16	8	14.3	13.5	0.82	14.8	16.7	-1.89
DeSagana Diop	15	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	-16	8	11.5	14.5	-2.96	17.7	15.0	2.67
Erick Dampier	57	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-22	20	14.7	13.1	1.54	14.3	17.2	-2.88
Jason Kidd	70	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-11	-2	14.5	12.9	1.61	14.4	18.0	-3.56
Brandon Bass	26	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	-9	-6	14.4	13.9	0.52	17.3	14.8	2.46
Jose Juan Barea	39	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.30	-20	-4	-16	13.1	14.6	-1.52	17.3	14.2	3.14
Jason Terry	67	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-12	0	14.7	12.6	2.09	15.8	14.9	0.88
Dirk Nowitzki	79	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-7	-10	14.5	12.1	2.40	14.8	18.0	-3.29
Devean George	46	45	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.12	-21	-3	-18	14.4	13.7	0.70	14.3	16.5	-2.23

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarvis Hayes	58	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.29	24	0	24	16.2	14.5	1.62	14.6	13.2	1.43
Keyon Dooling	51	49	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.25	22	2	20	16.9	14.0	2.95	13.2	14.8	-1.59
Vince Carter	73	75	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.12	17	7	10	15.1	16.7	-1.54	14.3	13.3	1.02
Devin Harris	79	82	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.20	20	4	16	14.8	18.5	-3.68	14.0	14.0	0.05
Brook Lopez	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	17	-10	14.2	18.0	-3.83	14.7	12.7	2.04
Yi Jianlian	66	67	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.10	13	11	2	14.7	17.3	-2.67	14.0	14.1	-0.08
Ryan Anderson	31	31	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.10	11	13	-2	17.3	14.7	2.67	14.1	14.0	0.08
Josh Boone	22	24	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.14	11	13	-2	18.0	14.8	3.29	14.1	14.0	0.06
Eduardo Najera	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	19.4	15.3	4.11	8.5	14.3	-5.78
Bobby Simmons	36	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	29	-34	15.0	15.8	-0.85	13.0	14.6	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 87, WAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
ATL 98, IND 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
GSW 95, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%