NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	119		Excitement	8.6 [161]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +67.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	124		Comeback	6.4 [296]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -8.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.20	0.19	0.00	8	110%	0.50	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.11	-0.02	13	62%	0.26	0	0.00	11	100%	0.08
Leandro Barbosa	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	7	80%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	11	66%	0.16	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.08	0.01	12	65%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	4	112%	0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.03,-0.09	-0.12	0.01	-0.02	14	47%	0.15	6	-0.24	4	100%	0.07

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.33,0.47,0.39,0.66,0.67	0.67	0.36	0.35	0.04	27	69%	0.67	0	0.00	21	90%	0.12
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.08	-0.00	15	69%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	12	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.11	-0.00	14	48%	0.15	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.05
Greg Oden	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.00	3	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	3.5	34.2	19.8	30.5	2.8	39.3	157.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -3.0%

PHX -1.7%

POR +19.7%

POR +37.0%

PHX -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	16.4	15.5	132.2	136.3	106.4
season	14.1	16.7		112.1	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.5		105.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	14.3	18.5	14.5	15.4
POR	16.1	17.0	14.9	17.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	33	33	0.56	-1.06	1.62	0.12	15	-20	35	14.6	15.9	-1.26	18.5	15.2	3.30
Robin Lopez	14	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-2	-1	13.4	15.8	-2.46	16.9	16.3	0.56
Lou Amundson	10	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	2	-9	13.5	15.7	-2.18	17.6	16.3	1.30
Grant Hill	52	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	1	-7	16.8	13.5	3.35	16.0	16.8	-0.83
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-6	7	15.5	15.2	0.30	16.4	16.1	0.32
Matt Barnes	55	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.40	1	-6	7	14.2	17.4	-3.26	16.9	15.5	1.46
Shaquille O'Neal	68	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.44	2	-7	9	16.1	13.3	2.86	16.3	16.8	-0.53
Jason Richardson	76	76	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.38	-9	4	-13	15.5	15.0	0.51	16.0	18.3	-2.33
Steve Nash	68	70	-1.03	0.53	-1.56	-0.47	-19	14	-33	15.6	14.8	0.81	15.4	19.5	-4.08

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	72	70	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.21	16	-11	27	15.8	18.6	-2.77	16.0	13.3	2.68
Brandon Roy	83	82	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.30	12	-7	19	15.9	21.1	-5.20	15.8	11.9	3.91
Steve Blake	71	70	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-6	17	16.3	16.6	-0.28	16.4	12.1	4.29
Greg Oden	30	32	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	2	1	16.1	16.5	-0.37	16.7	14.7	2.04
Travis Outlaw	48	46	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	2	1	17.0	15.7	1.39	14.0	17.0	-3.02
Nicolas Batum	30	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	6	-7	15.5	16.8	-1.32	17.0	14.6	2.43
Joel Przybilla	60	57	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	5	-5	16.7	15.7	1.07	14.8	16.5	-1.61
Rudy Fernandez	32	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	7	-9	17.3	15.9	1.38	14.7	15.9	-1.16
Sergio Rodriguez	17	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	9	-13	15.9	16.5	-0.62	11.4	16.3	-4.86
Ike Diogu	12	12	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.09	-13	18	-31	20.1	15.8	4.26	12.2	15.9	-3.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.16,0.22,0.28,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.41,0.29,0.47,0.38,0.54,0.43,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.21,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.91,1	90.6%
LAL 103, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.73,1	89.8%
NYK 87, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.82,1	89.7%