NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	98		Excitement	5.0 [837]		MVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): +9.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Comeback	1.7 [975]		LVP	Craig Smith (MIN): -13.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	7	86%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	17	42%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Ime Udoka	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	15	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	13	53%	0.07	5	-0.11	6	50%	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	24	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.01	0.07	14	59%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	8	22%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	27%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.06	0.03	11	55%	-0.00	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	25.2	16.5	28.7	2.6	29.7	128.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +50.4%

SAS +3.1%

MIN -7.4%

SAS +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIN	NBA	SAS	MIN	NBA
this game	16.4	15.2	15.5	107.7	94.5	106.4
season	16.4	15.8		106.6	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.7		109.2	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.1	18.2	15.8	16.0	16.4
MIN	13.9	18.7	14.2	14.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	68	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-2	16	16.3	16.8	-0.52	15.4	14.7	0.74
Roger Mason Jr.	44	41	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	2	8	15.7	17.1	-1.38	15.0	15.4	-0.47
George Hill	42	43	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	0	12	16.3	16.5	-0.20	15.2	15.2	0.05
Michael Finley	52	53	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	4	4	15.9	17.2	-1.29	16.1	13.9	2.21
Kurt Thomas	34	36	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	5	2	15.8	16.8	-0.98	14.1	16.0	-1.91
Tim Duncan	65	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	6	0	17.1	14.8	2.34	15.5	14.5	1.03
Matt Bonner	55	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	6	0	16.9	15.8	1.05	15.6	14.7	0.86
Fabricio Oberto	19	20	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	11	-10	15.7	16.6	-0.89	15.0	15.3	-0.27
Manu Ginobili	52	54	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	11	-10	17.4	15.2	2.21	14.7	16.0	-1.33
Bruce Bowen	18	18	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	11	-10	16.8	16.3	0.49	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Ime Udoka	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	14.0	16.5	-2.52	14.0	15.2	-1.25
Jacque Vaughn	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	14.0	16.5	-2.52	14.0	15.2	-1.25

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	0.0	15.4	-15.38	0.0	16.4	-16.44
Mike Miller	60	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-15	18	15.1	15.4	-0.32	16.8	15.6	1.15
Randy Foye	71	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-13	14	14.7	17.1	-2.42	16.2	17.3	-1.04
Craig Smith	51	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-11	10	14.3	16.3	-2.04	17.3	15.2	2.16
Al Jefferson	73	74	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-10	8	15.2	15.1	0.19	16.6	15.5	1.12
Rodney Carney	18	17	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	0	-12	17.5	14.6	2.86	15.6	16.6	-1.05
Sebastian Telfair	23	21	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-2	-8	16.7	14.7	1.99	16.8	16.3	0.48
Kevin Love	49	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	0	-12	15.9	14.4	1.45	16.0	16.9	-0.89
Rashad McCants	41	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	1	-14	16.5	14.1	2.37	16.5	16.4	0.17
Ryan Gomes	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	2	-16	14.3	17.8	-3.44	15.7	18.5	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 114, POR 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.3,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.04,0	94.3%
LAL 92, NYK 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	94.3%
IND 111, VAN 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%