inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 88 Excitement2.2 [1269] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +9.2%
San Antonio Spurs 123 Comeback1.1 [1269] LVPCorey Maggette (GSW): -10.3%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Crawford0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.010.04567%0.021-0.008100%0.01
Kelenna Azubuike0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.021052%0.031-0.02367%0.00
Anthony Morrow0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.02947%0.0100.001100%0.00
Ronny Turiaf0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01350%0.0100.00475%0.00
Rob Kurz-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01337%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Marco Belinelli-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.08617%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05965%0.011-0.02250%-0.00
CJ Watson-0.000,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.041233%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Andris Biedrins-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01542%0.001-0.02250%-0.00
Anthony Randolph-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.03654%-0.0110.001100%0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.020,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01550%0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Corey Maggette-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.140.00-0.041025%-0.063-0.044100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.01-0.001461%0.0900.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.130.000.061069%0.0700.00967%-0.02
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.150.000.091085%0.0600.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.090.000.06974%0.0310.001100%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02771%0.063-0.0300%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01756%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04567%0.021-0.01875%-0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04650%0.0120.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.03462%-0.0000.0000%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00945%-0.022-0.01450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.61.527.616.331.31.825.2135.3
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +46.2%
GSW -8.9%
SAS +3.9%
SAS +7.5%
SAS +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game13.515.915.589.8125.5106.4
season13.816.4107.3106.6
opponent15.715.0103.2111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.712.414.513.213.5
SAS14.016.414.319.515.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marco Belinelli2727-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-353513.813.30.4919.014.84.19
Rob Kurz3433-0.01-0.490.49-0.010-353514.512.91.5518.114.83.26
Anthony Morrow4949-0.06-0.440.370.02-3-322913.413.5-0.1017.314.62.76
Anthony Randolph2725-0.10-0.400.31-0.131-363713.013.6-0.5817.715.32.40
Brandan Wright4143-0.10-0.400.290.57-23-12-1113.113.7-0.5816.815.21.62
Ronny Turiaf3232-0.17-0.330.160.27-15-20512.114.1-2.0315.816.0-0.13
Kelenna Azubuike5453-0.22-0.280.060.22-15-20513.413.5-0.0315.316.7-1.45
Stephen Jackson3029-0.31-0.19-0.130.10-14-21713.813.30.4415.716.0-0.29
Jamal Crawford4646-0.37-0.13-0.240.60-33-2-3113.813.10.7313.917.7-3.88
Corey Maggette4345-0.37-0.13-0.240.24-21-14-713.313.5-0.2014.017.5-3.48
Andris Biedrins4546-0.38-0.12-0.250.24-21-14-713.713.20.4714.017.6-3.59
CJ Watson6262-0.41-0.09-0.320.50-31-4-2713.413.6-0.2416.015.70.28

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker41430.470.030.44-0.6137-23915.116.5-1.3913.313.6-0.32
Tim Duncan41420.400.100.30-0.633503514.616.9-2.2714.712.52.24
Michael Finley46440.370.130.23-0.633413314.317.3-3.0213.913.10.82
Manu Ginobili47460.320.180.14-0.502872114.217.5-3.3414.013.00.94
Matt Bonner42410.300.200.10-0.231817115.816.1-0.2913.713.30.43
Fabricio Oberto47470.190.31-0.11-0.221421-717.414.62.8412.414.4-1.99
Bruce Bowen27290.160.34-0.170.02530-2515.716.0-0.3112.613.8-1.29
Roger Mason Jr.38380.140.36-0.23-0.01530-2515.616.1-0.5312.913.8-0.84
George Hill64630.130.37-0.240.04332-2916.215.50.6613.413.5-0.04
Kurt Thomas35350.060.44-0.390.17-439-4317.714.92.7813.313.6-0.27
Jacque Vaughn22220.000.50-0.500.06-237-3919.514.94.6113.213.5-0.30
Ime Udoka4040-0.030.53-0.57-0.09233-3117.015.21.8113.613.30.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 80, BOS 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
CHI 74, ORL 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
OKC 87, LAL 1110.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%