NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	5.1 [799]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +14.5%
Washington Wizards	104		Comeback	1.0 [1268]		LVP	Caron Butler (WAS): -10.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.15	-0.01	0.12	-0.04	17	48%	0.17	2	-0.03	14	93%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.02	8	87%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.02	11	70%	0.16	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.03	10	55%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	61%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Trevor Ariza	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	17	51%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.05	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.05	4	27%	0.01	3	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.11	-0.02	22	51%	-0.05	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	30.1	15.4	26.6	2.6	33.1	135.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +46.1%

WAS -0.0%

WAS -11.0%

LAL +10.1%

LAL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	WAS	NBA	LAL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	15.5	112.8	109.5	106.4
season	14.9	15.9		110.6	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		111.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.3	14.1	14.6	20.3	15.4
WAS	14.4	14.1	17.3	14.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	66	68	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.17	16	-14	30	14.8	16.7	-1.95	15.8	13.3	2.56
Derek Fisher	43	43	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.15	25	-23	48	15.0	15.7	-0.66	16.8	13.7	3.10
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	43	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.15	25	-23	48	15.0	15.7	-0.66	16.8	13.7	3.10
Pau Gasol	70	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-9	20	14.9	16.7	-1.78	15.2	14.8	0.41
Andrew Bynum	72	70	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.02	17	-15	32	15.5	15.0	0.56	15.7	13.5	2.14
Luke Walton	9	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	7	-12	20.4	14.8	5.60	15.1	15.1	0.03
Lamar Odom	37	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.49	-19	21	-40	14.8	15.8	-1.03	13.9	15.9	-2.02
Trevor Ariza	51	52	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.59	-23	25	-48	15.7	15.0	0.66	13.7	16.8	-3.10
Jordan Farmar	51	52	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.59	-23	25	-48	15.7	15.0	0.66	13.7	16.8	-3.10
Sasha Vujacic	28	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.27	-14	16	-30	16.7	14.8	1.95	13.3	15.8	-2.56

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	46	45	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.65	25	-27	52	14.4	15.7	-1.28	16.3	14.5	1.82
Dominic McGuire	24	24	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-4	6	12.9	15.8	-2.91	14.1	15.8	-1.75
Etan Thomas	31	29	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-6	10	15.4	15.0	0.39	14.5	15.8	-1.30
Darius Songaila	25	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	5	-12	16.4	14.6	1.83	14.1	15.8	-1.72
Andray Blatche	55	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.58	14	-16	30	15.1	15.1	-0.05	15.8	14.8	0.93
Dee Brown	14	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.17	-13	11	-24	14.6	15.2	-0.53	14.2	15.6	-1.41
Antonio Daniels	57	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.46	5	-7	12	15.3	14.8	0.55	16.1	14.3	1.75
JaVale McGee	18	19	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	15	-32	15.3	15.1	0.23	14.7	15.6	-0.88
DeShawn Stevenson	49	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	15	-32	15.6	14.6	1.03	14.5	16.2	-1.69
Antawn Jamison	79	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.52	1	-3	4	15.0	15.6	-0.56	15.4	15.1	0.31
Caron Butler	77	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	5	-12	15.3	14.2	1.08	16.1	12.3	3.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.13,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 111, SEA 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.08,0	95.9%
DAL 106, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
CHI 92, LAL 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	95.3%