NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	117		Excitement	9.3 [109]		MVP	Troy Murphy (IND): +90.6%
Indiana Pacers	118		Comeback	47.8 [5]		LVP	Marquis Daniels (IND): -20.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.00	21	54%	0.22	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	62%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	4	112%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.07	-0.03	8	62%	0.18	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.04
Andrew Bynum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.08	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.05
Lamar Odom	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	6	33%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	12	59%	0.04	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.05
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	8	62%	0.04	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.91	0.91	0.06	0.85	0.00	12	67%	0.97	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.14	-0.01	27	52%	0.29	3	-0.11	8	100%	0.06
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.09	0.01	16	62%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.11	0.01	13	62%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,-0.2	-0.20	-0.01	-0.19	-0.00	15	41%	-0.20	0	0.00	9	89%	0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	32.1	16.6	29.4	2.4	33.6	141.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.0%

IND +5.8%

IND +27.0%

LAL -2.4%

IND +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	13.6	15.5	112.5	114.6	106.4
season	14.9	14.1		110.6	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.4		107.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	12.4	13.9	15.9	14.2
IND	13.0	13.3	14.9	13.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	62	63	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.04	10	-11	21	12.9	16.1	-3.15	14.2	12.7	1.44
Jordan Farmar	31	31	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.15	6	-7	13	12.4	15.0	-2.62	13.5	13.7	-0.26
Sasha Vujacic	25	26	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.10	3	-4	7	12.4	14.8	-2.41	13.2	13.8	-0.64
Vladimir Radmanovic	49	50	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.07	-1	0	-1	15.0	13.5	1.49	12.8	14.4	-1.65
Andrew Bynum	70	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.36	-6	5	-11	14.4	13.8	0.59	13.2	14.5	-1.29
Trevor Ariza	55	53	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.54	0	-1	1	13.5	15.0	-1.49	14.4	12.8	1.65
Kobe Bryant	79	77	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.57	-4	3	-7	14.8	12.4	2.41	13.8	13.2	0.64
Pau Gasol	76	75	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.62	-6	5	-11	15.1	11.9	3.20	13.6	13.8	-0.26
Derek Fisher	73	72	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.62	-7	6	-13	15.0	12.4	2.62	13.7	13.5	0.26

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Ford	70	71	1.09	-0.59	1.69	0.48	21	-20	41	13.6	13.7	-0.05	15.7	10.9	4.81
Troy Murphy	83	82	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.55	11	-10	21	13.0	16.4	-3.44	14.2	14.3	-0.16
Marquis Daniels	63	65	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.49	11	-10	21	13.7	13.5	0.21	15.1	12.6	2.48
Rasho Nesterovic	61	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.57	1	0	1	14.0	13.0	0.99	14.3	14.0	0.25
Danny Granger	90	90	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.45	1	0	1	13.7	13.2	0.55	13.9	16.1	-2.17
Roy Hibbert	26	27	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.10	4	-3	7	13.4	13.7	-0.28	15.5	13.7	1.74
Josh McRoberts	23	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	1	-1	13.5	13.7	-0.14	13.2	14.5	-1.31
Stephen Graham	22	21	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.03	-11	12	-23	13.9	13.6	0.30	13.7	14.3	-0.60
Brandon Rush	35	36	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.05	-15	16	-31	13.9	13.5	0.34	13.0	14.8	-1.82
Jarrett Jack	42	42	-0.68	1.18	-1.86	-0.15	-18	19	-37	14.0	13.4	0.62	11.7	15.9	-4.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.18,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.19,0.07,0.1,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 98, VAN 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.58,1	90.8%
SAS 84, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.42,1	90.8%
HOU 75, SAS 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.42,1	90.6%