NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	98		Excitement	8.1 [188]		MVP	Bryant Stith (BOS): +18.1%
Vancouver Grizzlies	99		Comeback	68.4 [13]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): -28.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.01	7	87%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	21	53%	0.10	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chris Carr	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	17%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Antoine Walker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.14	0.00	-0.11	0.03	25	52%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	10	15%	-0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.29	-0.02	-0.25	0.02	5	69%	-0.04	3	-0.25	3	100%	0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.05	0.01	15	74%	0.14	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.07
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	5	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.08
Tony Massenburg	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.05	5	-0.15	6	83%	-0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	16	47%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.05
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	3	30%	-0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,-0.15	-0.15	0.05	-0.20	0.01	14	69%	0.08	3	-0.24	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.0	28.0	14.8	26.0	1.8	40.1	138.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +30.0%

VAN +20.8%

VAN +47.2%

BOS -26.1%

BOS -22.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	VAN	NBA	BOS	VAN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.4	15.5	100.0	100.0	100.9
season	15.1	15.6		99.7	97.4
opponent	15.1	15.4		103.4	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.9	14.6	15.7	16.1	14.8
VAN	14.2	15.4	15.6	12.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	46	47	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.09	8	-9	17	13.3	16.1	-2.75	15.4	13.6	1.85
Randy Brown	5	5	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-4	7	13.0	14.9	-1.90	15.8	14.4	1.44
Chris Carr	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-4	7	1.0	14.9	-13.95	0.0	14.6	-14.58
Eric Williams	53	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-6	11	15.0	14.5	0.50	13.3	15.7	-2.36
Milt Palacio	36	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	4	-9	15.1	14.6	0.48	13.3	15.0	-1.78
Paul Pierce	78	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	4	-9	15.2	13.1	2.08	14.6	13.8	0.85
Kenny Anderson	57	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-2	3	14.8	14.9	-0.08	15.0	13.6	1.39
Antoine Walker	82	83	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.56	-2	1	-3	14.8	15.0	-0.23	14.4	14.7	-0.38
Bryant Stith	78	81	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.52	-4	3	-7	14.1	17.5	-3.38	15.0	11.7	3.38
Vitaly Potapenko	54	53	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.40	-9	8	-17	16.5	12.7	3.81	13.8	15.1	-1.30

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Reeves	74	74	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.52	11	-10	21	14.4	14.4	0.05	14.4	16.0	-1.53
Grant Long	66	65	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.60	8	-7	15	14.1	15.2	-1.08	14.2	16.0	-1.85
Michael Dickerson	74	72	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.60	2	-1	3	14.7	13.7	0.96	14.2	16.5	-2.25
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	88	88	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.47	6	-5	11	14.4	15.0	-0.64	15.0	13.3	1.68
Mike Bibby	89	88	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.42	6	-5	11	14.3	15.5	-1.19	14.9	13.8	1.12
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	10	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	6	-11	15.5	14.3	1.19	13.8	14.9	-1.12
Erick Strickland	36	36	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.23	-3	4	-7	13.8	14.8	-1.03	16.4	13.9	2.46
Tony Massenburg	25	24	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.03	-10	11	-21	14.4	14.4	-0.05	16.0	14.4	1.53
Stromile Swift	33	33	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.04	-10	11	-21	15.5	13.9	1.62	15.2	14.6	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 75, SAS 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.42,1	92.4%
SAS 84, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.42,1	91.2%
NOK 99, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.58,1	91.1%