NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	10.1 [61]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +53.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	103		Comeback	3.3 [350]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -11.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.25	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.25	-0.05	0.29	-0.01	17	53%	0.42	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.05	0.15	-0.01	13	56%	0.26	2	-0.05	15	73%	-0.11
Ryan Gomes	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.2	0.03	0.19	0.02	10	50%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.09
Corey Brewer	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.09	0.00	7	75%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	5	90%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	7	53%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Al Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06	0.04	-0.10	0.01	12	59%	0.01	2	-0.07	8	87%	-0.07
Jason Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	6	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.06,0.23,0.54	0.54	0.05	0.48	-0.01	18	52%	0.57	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.04
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.06	0.00	13	73%	0.21	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.02	0.00	13	68%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.11	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	31%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	29.0	15.8	28.0	1.8	41.2	143.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC -14.1%

MIN +36.0%

MIN +43.3%

OKC -14.6%

OKC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	OKC	NBA	MIN	OKC	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	15.5	112.9	109.6	106.4
season	15.8	14.9		104.3	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.6	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.7	15.4	14.8	17.6	16.3
OKC	13.1	13.4	15.9	16.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	64	66	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.58	10	-8	18	16.0	17.0	-0.98	15.1	13.2	1.91
Randy Foye	51	52	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.64	6	-4	10	17.6	14.7	2.87	15.5	13.3	2.19
Ryan Gomes	63	62	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.45	6	-4	10	16.9	15.0	1.90	14.8	13.9	0.89
Al Jefferson	67	69	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.47	-3	5	-8	17.7	12.7	4.94	15.2	12.6	2.62
Corey Brewer	44	47	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.25	-6	8	-14	15.0	17.4	-2.45	13.6	15.5	-1.94
Mike Miller	80	79	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	0	2	16.3	15.9	0.43	14.9	12.7	2.13
Jason Collins	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	2	-2	17.3	16.1	1.24	12.7	14.9	-2.21
Kevin Love	39	38	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	3	-4	14.4	17.7	-3.33	13.0	15.6	-2.55
Sebastian Telfair	42	42	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.20	-4	6	-10	14.7	17.6	-2.87	13.3	15.5	-2.19

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	57	57	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.10	7	-9	16	14.6	14.4	0.19	16.6	15.9	0.70
Nick Collison	49	49	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.13	0	-2	2	13.8	15.3	-1.43	16.2	16.4	-0.18
Desmond Mason	35	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	0	-2	14.9	14.3	0.54	15.5	16.8	-1.24
Russell Westbrook	68	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.43	6	-8	14	14.4	14.9	-0.56	16.0	16.9	-0.90
Earl Watson	26	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	6	-14	14.9	14.4	0.56	16.9	16.0	0.90
Jeff Green	75	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-2	2	15.2	11.8	3.42	16.8	14.3	2.43
Kevin Durant	82	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	1	-4	14.2	16.7	-2.46	15.9	18.8	-2.92
Joe Smith	48	46	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.74	5	-7	12	14.4	14.7	-0.26	15.8	16.7	-0.88
Damien Wilkins	30	29	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.32	-15	13	-28	14.4	14.6	-0.13	17.4	15.8	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.1,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 95, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.31,0.46,0.33,0.42,0	91.9%
MIA 87, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.16,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.42,0	91.6%
CHH 97, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.35,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.28,0.33,0.58,0	90.9%