NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	106		Excitement	7.6 [306]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +35.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	105		Comeback	1.6 [824]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DEN): -14.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	9	60%	0.14	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.02,0.12,0.12	-0.01	0.14	0.01	21	52%	0.25	5	-0.13	16	87%	0.06
Nene	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	8	77%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.01	10	71%	0.18	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
Renaldo Balkman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	4	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Carter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	9	65%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	10	29%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.12	0.25	0.02	14	75%	0.41	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	9	55%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	15	56%	0.08	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	11	28%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,-0.13	-0.13	0.05	-0.18	0.01	9	61%	-0.11	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	35.0	15.7	31.1	2.4	37.3	149.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +10.5%

DEN +19.5%

DEN +19.7%

LAC -1.8%

DEN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	14.1	15.5	107.1	106.1	106.4
season	14.4	15.7		109.5	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.7		109.8	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.3	14.5	15.3	17.1	15.0
LAC	14.4	13.8	14.7	13.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	77	76	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-9	19	15.2	14.2	1.06	14.3	13.4	0.90
Kenyon Martin	77	77	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.39	2	-1	3	14.9	15.3	-0.34	14.0	14.5	-0.48
Nene	67	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.30	5	-4	9	15.7	13.6	2.14	14.3	13.7	0.63
Anthony Carter	68	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	1	-1	14.1	17.1	-3.04	14.0	14.2	-0.17
Dahntay Jones	48	49	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.36	-3	4	-7	16.0	14.1	1.84	13.5	14.6	-1.13
Carmelo Anthony	75	74	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.30	-2	3	-5	15.0	15.0	-0.04	13.9	14.6	-0.64
Linas Kleiza	56	56	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	2	-3	14.9	15.2	-0.31	14.6	13.5	1.09
Renaldo Balkman	27	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	7	-13	13.9	15.4	-1.59	13.9	14.1	-0.21

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Davis	28	26	0.34	-0.84	1.17	-0.16	17	-18	35	13.7	14.2	-0.51	13.3	15.6	-2.36
Steve Novak	21	19	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.04	6	-7	13	12.9	14.4	-1.55	15.4	14.9	0.44
Mike Taylor	32	32	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-14	27	13.3	14.4	-1.09	12.9	16.0	-3.15
Mardy Collins	17	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	2	-5	12.8	14.4	-1.59	13.7	15.3	-1.58
Al Thornton	55	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-5	9	14.5	13.6	0.92	15.5	14.3	1.21
Chris Kaman	26	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	9	-19	14.4	14.0	0.46	13.3	15.6	-2.36
Marcus Camby	80	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-6	11	14.2	13.7	0.43	14.7	16.4	-1.75
DeAndre Jordan	17	19	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	11	-23	14.8	13.9	0.90	16.5	14.6	1.88
Baron Davis	85	86	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	0	-1	13.7	16.5	-2.82	15.5	11.8	3.73
Zach Randolph	51	50	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.35	-10	9	-19	14.5	13.6	0.84	16.2	13.8	2.40
Eric Gordon	83	84	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.42	-14	13	-27	14.6	11.3	3.30	15.5	12.4	3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 75, CHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.09,0	93.3%
CHH 108, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.31,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0,0	92.8%
ORL 88, NOK 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.04,0	92.5%