NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	76		Excitement	4.7 [899]		MVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): +3.6%
Dallas Mavericks	91		Comeback	1.7 [1007]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -15.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.04	8	60%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	12	50%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.04	0.05	23	40%	-0.10	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.04	-0.03	19	33%	-0.12	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	20	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	57%	0.07	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
James Singleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	12	75%	0.07	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.7	30.3	16.6	25.5	2.0	33.2	133.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +38.5%

DAL +11.6%

DAL +6.1%

MEM -8.7%

DAL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	15.5	80.9	96.8	106.4
season	16.1	15.6		101.7	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.3		107.1	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.1	15.9	15.5	16.3	15.7
DAL	16.8	14.7	13.3	15.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	15.0	15.7	-0.72	25.0	14.8	10.17
Javaris Crittenton	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	15.0	15.7	-0.72	25.0	14.8	10.17
Kyle Lowry	29	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-16	17	15.7	15.7	-0.02	15.9	14.5	1.42
Hakim Warrick	50	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-15	15	15.4	16.0	-0.65	15.5	14.3	1.17
Quinton Ross	43	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-9	3	16.1	15.4	0.76	15.6	14.4	1.15
Marc Gasol	61	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-8	1	15.1	16.8	-1.67	14.2	16.2	-2.04
Darko Milicic	38	39	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-7	-1	16.8	14.9	1.91	15.6	14.5	1.16
O.J. Mayo	82	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-5	-5	15.5	17.2	-1.77	14.7	16.5	-1.72
Darrell Arthur	30	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.04	-14	-1	-13	15.9	15.6	0.29	14.8	15.0	-0.21
Mike Conley	63	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	1	-17	15.7	15.6	0.08	14.3	16.2	-1.88
Rudy Gay	70	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	0	-15	15.8	15.5	0.22	14.6	16.0	-1.43

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	68	69	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.03	18	-3	21	14.0	17.5	-3.54	16.4	13.8	2.65
Erick Dampier	47	47	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.09	21	-6	27	14.4	15.5	-1.15	15.6	15.8	-0.13
James Singleton	59	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-4	23	14.5	15.7	-1.29	15.7	15.8	-0.11
Jason Kidd	69	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-3	21	14.1	17.2	-3.03	15.8	15.4	0.38
Dirk Nowitzki	69	70	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	3	9	14.7	15.6	-0.96	15.7	15.6	0.16
Jose Juan Barea	36	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	17	-19	16.6	13.9	2.67	16.0	15.5	0.42
DeSagana Diop	30	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	17	-19	15.7	14.6	1.12	17.6	14.9	2.71
Shawne Williams	18	19	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	13	-11	16.2	14.6	1.59	15.4	15.8	-0.42
Brandon Bass	32	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	18	-21	15.5	14.6	0.85	15.1	16.0	-0.88
Devean George	31	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	19	-23	15.5	14.7	0.77	14.0	16.5	-2.49
Gerald Green	11	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	19	-23	20.0	14.3	5.73	12.2	16.2	-3.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
ATL 83, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	94.9%
MIN 102, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.9%