inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 101 Excitement10.0 [65] MVPRudy Gay (MEM): +32.5%
Memphis Grizzlies 96 Comeback10.4 [55] LVPRichard Jefferson (MIL): -30.7%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ramon Sessions0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.220.030.18-0.001657%0.463-0.243100%0.09
Luke Ridnour0.200,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.20.050.170.011054%0.2000.006100%0.12
Luc Mbah a Moute0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.040.09-0.001647%0.143-0.09887%0.03
Francisco Elson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.020.01367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Alexander-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Austin Croshere-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Malik Allen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Charlie Bell-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01420%-0.041-0.022100%0.01
Andrew Bogut-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.00860%0.157-0.27450%-0.02
Richard Jefferson-0.310,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31-0.08-0.220.002643%-0.073-0.24989%0.09

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.330.330.000.31-0.012446%0.351-0.024100%0.10
Marc Gasol0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.02872%0.143-0.08989%0.03
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.00233%0.0100.002100%0.02
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.03-0.01425%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Quinton Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.040.00475%0.031-0.0500%0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.01450%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01844%0.012-0.042100%0.08
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.02937%-0.031-0.021100%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.13,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06-0.060.03-0.090.002152%-0.002-0.066100%0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.82.628.315.725.42.436.31.622.0162.1
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.32.041.4140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +16.4%
MIL +13.7%
MIL +71.9%
MEM -55.0%
MIL +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMEMNBAMILMEMNBA
this game16.115.715.5100.097.0106.4
season15.016.1104.9101.7
opponent15.315.6107.6105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIL18.915.114.418.911.016.1
MEM16.215.515.614.517.915.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Elson27260.80-0.301.100.4811-61714.616.6-2.0114.116.3-2.20
Richard Jefferson92900.67-0.170.850.2614-92316.116.6-0.5015.814.21.62
Luc Mbah a Moute85820.63-0.130.760.2214-92316.414.61.7515.417.2-1.79
Ramon Sessions72700.53-0.030.570.3950515.118.6-3.4415.516.1-0.62
Joe Alexander25250.470.030.440.296-1717.015.81.1415.515.8-0.29
Luke Ridnour73720.330.170.160.079-41315.916.6-0.6516.214.31.93
Malik Allen1312-0.180.68-0.850.06-813-2116.516.00.4217.215.51.77
Austin Croshere78-0.180.68-0.860.03-712-1916.616.10.5114.715.8-1.03
Charlie Bell3737-0.280.78-1.070.10-1318-3117.115.51.5115.216.0-0.81
Andrew Bogut7473-0.300.80-1.10-0.12-611-1716.614.62.0116.314.12.20

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quinton Ross38370.16-0.660.82-0.1912-172914.416.5-2.0314.916.8-1.95
Greg Buckner980.08-0.580.650.051-6716.415.60.8214.116.3-2.14
Hakim Warrick54550.02-0.520.54-0.3011-162716.814.42.4615.516.8-1.38
Mike Conley6565-0.16-0.340.180.04-72-915.815.60.1716.016.3-0.32
Darko Milicic2526-0.17-0.330.15-0.232-7916.315.50.7816.116.10.02
Marc Gasol7374-0.21-0.290.07-0.07-50-515.616.0-0.4616.315.60.69
Kyle Lowry3436-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.402-7915.615.8-0.1716.316.00.32
Darrell Arthur4344-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.02-149-2314.816.4-1.5617.614.92.64
Rudy Gay6972-0.690.19-0.87-0.25-1510-2515.516.2-0.7216.116.10.04
O.J. Mayo8588-0.750.25-1.00-0.40-127-1916.013.72.3116.314.91.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.43,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 123, GSW 1190.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.44,0.64,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.58,089.0%
PHX 123, SAC 1100.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.01,0,0,087.9%
MEM 110, HOU 1050.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.3,0.25,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.1,087.7%