NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	123		Excitement	6.0 [631]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +22.4%
Sacramento Kings	110		Comeback	11.1 [56]		LVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): -14.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.22	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.07	0.02	13	78%	0.25	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	9	72%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.00	0.11	-0.01	9	55%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.08	0.05	15	66%	0.20	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
James Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	67%	0.05	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.02	0.03	14	46%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.07	0.02	14	68%	0.19	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.02	-0.00	15	64%	0.16	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	7	84%	0.18	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	69%	0.14	4	-0.11	8	75%	0.02
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Hart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	16	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	14	64%	-0.04
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	30.3	15.8	28.1	2.5	28.6	131.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +44.9%

SAC -2.4%

SAC -1.4%

PHX +8.9%

PHX +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	14.1	15.4	15.6	126.8	112.2	104.4
season	13.8	15.3		110.2	104.7
opponent	15.5	16.1		103.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	14.4	12.2	15.4	14.1
SAC	14.4	15.6	17.1	14.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	58	57	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.23	10	3	7	15.1	12.7	2.38	14.4	16.9	-2.55
Tim Thomas	72	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-6	25	13.3	16.5	-3.24	16.0	14.1	1.89
Raja Bell	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	-8	29	14.1	14.2	-0.06	15.8	14.5	1.24
James Jones	41	42	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	10	-7	14.4	13.9	0.56	14.4	16.2	-1.86
Steve Nash	59	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-2	17	13.6	15.0	-1.41	16.3	13.9	2.45
Brian Grant	27	28	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	7	-1	15.5	13.6	1.95	14.2	15.9	-1.74
Shawn Marion	75	76	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	-2	17	14.2	13.7	0.56	15.6	14.9	0.66
Boris Diaw	70	73	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	17	-21	14.0	14.4	-0.41	16.2	13.3	2.87
Eddie House	20	21	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.10	-12	25	-37	14.8	13.9	0.86	13.3	16.0	-2.65

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Hart	14	13	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-17	21	15.7	15.4	0.35	14.5	14.1	0.40
Francisco Garcia	20	18	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-17	21	14.7	15.6	-0.84	16.3	13.6	2.73
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	51	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-15	17	14.5	16.4	-1.98	14.9	13.3	1.62
Kenny Thomas	32	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-7	1	16.7	14.8	1.84	13.1	14.6	-1.45
Brad Miller	83	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-1	-11	15.8	13.4	2.38	13.5	17.6	-4.04
Bonzi Wells	68	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.03	-16	3	-19	15.7	14.7	1.08	14.0	14.4	-0.44
Kevin Martin	50	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	-5	-3	14.8	16.1	-1.30	14.4	13.8	0.68
Metta World Peace	88	87	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.12	-16	3	-19	15.4	15.3	0.13	14.0	14.9	-0.88
Mike Bibby	84	84	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.12	-17	4	-21	15.4	15.7	-0.35	14.1	14.5	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 110, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0	92.0%
GSW 119, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.66,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.18,0.07,0.16,0.04,0.04,0	92.0%
SAS 109, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.79,0.7,0.52,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	91.9%