NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	8.6 [159]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +13.2%
Dallas Mavericks	99		Comeback	6.2 [345]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -28.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	15	58%	0.20	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	20	56%	0.20	1	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	62%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	12	44%	0.08	4	-0.13	3	33%	-0.04
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.19	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.19	-0.07	-0.10	0.02	8	30%	-0.16	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	69%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	14	53%	0.12	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.1,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.06	-0.00	12	61%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	15	55%	0.05	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	15	50%	0.03	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.14	-0.17	-0.03	17	37%	-0.20	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.7	30.4	16.5	24.3	1.7	38.0	141.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +30.8%

LAL +6.5%

DAL -0.2%

LAL +13.5%

DAL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.2	15.5	105.0	99.0	106.4
season	14.9	15.6		110.6	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.4		107.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.6	14.5	16.1	13.8	14.4
DAL	13.1	14.3	15.9	13.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	62	61	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.34	16	-9	25	14.1	14.9	-0.78	13.4	15.6	-2.21
Lamar Odom	64	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-6	19	13.3	16.4	-3.14	14.2	14.3	-0.04
Sasha Vujacic	25	26	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-6	19	14.2	14.5	-0.34	14.0	14.3	-0.32
Andrew Bynum	62	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	0	7	15.5	12.7	2.81	14.1	14.4	-0.22
Jordan Farmar	41	43	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-2	11	14.3	14.5	-0.17	14.2	14.3	-0.05
Derek Fisher	60	57	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	9	-11	14.5	14.3	0.17	14.3	14.2	0.05
Pau Gasol	76	74	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	13	-19	14.5	14.2	0.34	14.3	14.0	0.32
Kobe Bryant	76	74	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	13	-19	14.5	14.2	0.34	14.3	14.0	0.32
Luke Walton	5	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	9	-11	19.0	14.2	4.82	22.3	13.7	8.61
Vladimir Radmanovic	34	33	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.01	-7	14	-21	14.3	14.5	-0.18	14.4	14.2	0.18

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	55	56	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-14	21	14.5	13.9	0.56	14.9	13.9	0.99
Jose Juan Barea	9	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-3	-1	16.1	14.1	2.06	14.8	14.4	0.40
Antoine Wright	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-2	-3	16.4	13.6	2.78	15.6	14.1	1.56
Jason Terry	84	84	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-10	13	14.1	14.8	-0.68	14.2	15.5	-1.34
Dirk Nowitzki	75	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.37	5	-12	17	14.7	13.0	1.71	15.7	11.1	4.53
Jason Kidd	81	83	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-11	15	13.2	18.7	-5.55	14.7	13.2	1.45
Brandon Bass	25	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	3	-13	13.4	14.5	-1.17	12.2	15.2	-2.94
Gerald Green	56	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	3	-13	14.6	13.8	0.83	13.3	15.8	-2.46
DeSagana Diop	41	43	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.08	-14	7	-21	14.5	14.0	0.50	14.3	14.5	-0.16
Jerry Stackhouse	52	53	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.32	-11	4	-15	13.7	14.8	-1.06	13.9	15.0	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.74,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.36,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 101, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.16,0	92.6%
PHI 99, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.03,0.17,0	92.0%
CLE 101, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.06,0,0	91.0%