NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	7.8 [273]		MVP	John Salmons (SAC): +23.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	1.5 [833]		LVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): -47.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.3,0.23	0.05	0.19	0.01	17	57%	0.29	2	-0.05	8	62%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.03	-0.01	11	69%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Shelden Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	27%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	9	50%	0.01	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Martin	-0.47	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.47	-0.10	-0.36	0.01	19	39%	-0.39	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.13	-0.00	8	75%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	8	67%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.03	18	42%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	17	54%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.00	6	35%	0.00	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.09
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	-0.02	12	46%	-0.04	4	-0.14	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.5	26.6	15.4	26.0	2.0	36.2	135.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +61.5%

SAC -17.1%

SAC -6.0%

MIN +9.5%

MIN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	15.5	15.5	99.0	101.0	106.4
season	15.0	15.8		104.0	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.1		109.2	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.1	12.6	15.6	15.8	14.2
MIN	15.2	15.6	13.8	17.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	17	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	0	-2	13.8	14.3	-0.46	14.7	15.7	-0.94
Mikki Moore	42	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-3	4	14.0	14.4	-0.36	16.0	15.1	0.84
Quincy Douby	26	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-2	2	12.9	14.7	-1.81	14.4	15.9	-1.58
Bobby Jackson	42	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.31	6	-8	14	13.5	14.7	-1.20	15.9	15.2	0.71
Kenny Thomas	14	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.00	-5	3	-8	13.1	14.4	-1.33	14.6	15.6	-1.07
John Salmons	83	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.38	2	-4	6	14.3	13.6	0.74	15.5	15.2	0.32
Jason Thompson	46	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	5	-12	14.2	14.2	0.06	14.2	16.6	-2.37
Spencer Hawes	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.51	5	-7	12	14.5	13.5	1.06	15.9	14.7	1.24
Beno Udrih	71	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-3	4	14.6	13.2	1.39	15.9	14.4	1.53
Kevin Martin	78	79	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.47	-11	9	-20	14.7	12.4	2.29	15.7	14.5	1.21

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	30	31	1.04	-0.54	1.59	0.66	13	-11	24	17.3	14.7	2.63	15.7	13.5	2.16
Kevin Love	37	37	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.17	20	-18	38	15.4	15.5	-0.08	14.4	14.1	0.32
Corey Brewer	54	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	0	2	15.1	16.0	-0.97	14.2	14.2	-0.06
Al Jefferson	64	65	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.41	-1	3	-4	15.6	15.2	0.37	14.8	13.1	1.66
Mike Miller	61	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	2	-2	15.9	14.8	1.04	14.4	13.9	0.55
Rashad McCants	51	50	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	-5	12	15.7	15.3	0.43	14.4	14.0	0.36
Craig Smith	31	30	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	-1	4	15.5	15.5	-0.05	13.2	14.7	-1.50
Rodney Carney	28	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	7	-12	15.1	15.6	-0.53	13.5	14.5	-0.99
Randy Foye	68	67	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.15	-10	12	-22	14.5	17.9	-3.39	13.7	15.4	-1.68
Ryan Gomes	61	61	-0.65	1.15	-1.80	-0.09	-19	21	-40	15.6	15.2	0.42	13.8	14.8	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.43,0.52,0.68,0.64,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.84,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 80, SAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,1	92.7%
GSW 96, VAN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.96,1	92.3%
SAS 97, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.3%