NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	105		Excitement	6.0 [593]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +38.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	108		Comeback	1.3 [432]		LVP	Jason Terry (DAL): -15.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.36	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.36	0.13	0.24	0.01	17	68%	0.40	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.07
Eddie Jones	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	7	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	58%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Brandon Bass	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	6	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Malik Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	15	30%	-0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.38	0.38	0.11	0.29	0.01	16	61%	0.40	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	12	68%	0.21	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.12	-0.03	7	64%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	14	70%	0.21	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.7	33.1	15.4	21.2	1.8	41.1	136.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +55.6%

POR +8.6%

DAL -12.7%

DAL -0.9%

DAL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	17.3	16.2	15.4	122.1	125.6	105.7
season	16.1	16.7		108.9	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		106.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.0	15.5	17.3	19.6	17.3
POR	15.0	16.4	18.7	14.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	9	9	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.12	8	-11	19	21.1	16.9	4.23	18.8	15.9	2.92
Juwan Howard	15	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-7	11	13.7	18.1	-4.43	16.0	16.2	-0.20
Tyronn Lue	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-4	5	21.0	16.8	4.16	14.8	16.3	-1.54
Erick Dampier	37	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-3	3	17.5	17.2	0.38	17.5	15.1	2.37
Eddie Jones	53	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-9	15	16.9	18.0	-1.05	16.2	16.0	0.21
Antoine Wright	22	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	0	-3	19.2	16.7	2.49	17.1	15.8	1.26
Jason Terry	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.39	4	-7	11	16.8	19.0	-2.15	16.2	15.9	0.34
Brandon Bass	39	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	4	-11	16.5	18.0	-1.53	14.8	17.2	-2.46
Jason Kidd	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	6	-15	16.7	19.5	-2.82	16.1	16.4	-0.26
Dirk Nowitzki	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	4	-11	18.1	13.7	4.43	16.2	16.0	0.20
Devean George	42	42	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	9	-21	17.6	17.1	0.48	15.3	17.0	-1.62

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	74	72	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-5	13	16.4	14.8	1.55	17.3	17.4	-0.04
LaMarcus Aldridge	66	66	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-7	17	15.9	17.0	-1.16	16.5	20.0	-3.55
Brandon Roy	79	81	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	-1	5	16.0	18.1	-2.16	17.4	16.0	1.41
Travis Outlaw	49	49	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	2	-1	15.5	17.1	-1.56	16.8	18.0	-1.14
Jarrett Jack	71	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	5	-7	16.7	13.5	3.18	18.1	13.9	4.24
James Jones	20	20	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	-1	5	15.5	16.3	-0.80	17.1	17.4	-0.23
Channing Frye	58	58	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	7	-11	16.7	15.1	1.57	17.9	16.1	1.75
Josh McRoberts	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	3	-3	1.0	16.3	-15.34	2.0	17.5	-15.51
Raef LaFrentz	12	13	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.17	-6	9	-15	16.7	16.1	0.68	17.5	17.3	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.91,1	93.9%
VAN 93, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.58,1	93.4%
SAC 108, POR 114	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.93,1,1	93.1%