NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	111		Excitement	4.7 [862]		MVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): +17.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	2.4 [310]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -6.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.02	8	94%	0.20	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.00	15	70%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	3	117%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	20	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Marcus Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	69%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.03	5	-0.09	5	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.01	0.05	10	68%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Awvee Storey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	53%	0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	60%	0.02	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	11	62%	0.09	5	-0.12	7	57%	-0.04
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	6	44%	-0.00	5	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	30.4	16.4	27.9	2.0	31.3	132.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +31.6%

NJN +2.3%

MIL -5.1%

NJN +21.7%

MIL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.3	15.4	118.1	104.3	105.7
season	15.4	15.8		101.8	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.5		110.7	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.7	14.8	18.1	17.0	16.4
MIL	14.9	14.5	13.2	14.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	79	82	0.76	-0.26	1.02	-0.03	27	-14	41	16.5	15.8	0.69	14.6	11.7	2.97
Devin Harris	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	-2	17	15.4	19.0	-3.62	14.3	14.1	0.15
Bostjan Nachbar	40	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	2	9	16.9	16.0	0.86	14.1	14.4	-0.27
Nenad Krstic	34	36	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	-1	15	16.1	16.5	-0.37	14.7	14.0	0.71
Richard Jefferson	78	76	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	9	-5	15.7	19.5	-3.76	14.2	14.3	-0.03
Stromile Swift	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	10	-7	17.0	15.8	1.27	14.5	14.0	0.49
Trenton Hassell	20	20	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	11	-9	15.4	16.6	-1.19	15.2	14.0	1.20
Marcus Williams	27	28	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	17	-21	19.2	15.2	3.98	14.2	14.3	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	49	47	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	17	-21	15.9	16.9	-0.97	13.4	15.1	-1.70
Maurice Ager	27	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	15	-17	17.3	16.0	1.33	13.8	14.4	-0.57
Darrell Armstrong	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	18.7	16.3	2.36	6.7	14.5	-7.84

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	32	33	0.15	-0.66	0.81	-0.31	16	-29	45	13.6	14.6	-1.00	18.7	15.1	3.52
Awvee Storey	23	23	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-20	27	12.3	14.9	-2.64	18.4	15.7	2.72
Royal Ivey	52	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-10	7	14.2	14.3	-0.10	16.0	16.8	-0.77
Bobby Simmons	51	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-5	-3	14.5	14.0	0.56	17.2	15.5	1.75
Desmond Mason	66	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-7	1	14.2	14.4	-0.15	16.8	15.3	1.56
Dan Gadzuric	32	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-3	-7	14.3	14.2	0.04	16.2	16.5	-0.20
Ramon Sessions	85	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.07	-14	1	-15	14.4	12.7	1.76	15.9	22.0	-6.14
Michael Redd	60	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.06	-21	8	-29	14.6	13.6	1.00	15.5	18.0	-2.53
Andrew Bogut	69	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.16	-26	13	-39	14.6	13.4	1.22	15.3	19.2	-3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 73, UTA 62	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%
WAS 96, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
MIA 97, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.0%