NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	6.8 [423]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): +16.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	101		Comeback	1.0 [865]		LVP	Ramon Sessions (MIL): -11.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.02	17	61%	0.30	5	-0.13	10	70%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.06	-0.02	7	61%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Danny Granger	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	8	72%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.08	0.02	7	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Travis Diener	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	65%	0.12	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	15	49%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	73%	0.10	6	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	43%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	61%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Michael Redd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	24	52%	0.10	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	17	49%	0.07	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.07
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	55%	0.09	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.03	8	50%	-0.05	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.7	27.7	15.0	30.2	2.7	40.3	144.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +51.2%

IND +11.5%

MIL -13.2%

IND +3.3%

MIL -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	13.7	14.7	15.4	102.9	100.0	105.7
season	13.8	15.8		104.5	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.2		110.7	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.1	12.8	14.0	16.2	13.7
MIL	15.6	14.4	15.4	13.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	82	83	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	-1	6	12.9	17.1	-4.22	15.0	13.3	1.70
Troy Murphy	78	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	-1	6	13.8	13.3	0.54	14.3	15.9	-1.61
Travis Diener	55	54	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	4	-4	13.5	14.0	-0.55	14.8	14.5	0.34
Mike Dunleavy	97	96	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	1	2	13.5	18.6	-5.15	14.4	19.8	-5.39
Jeff Foster	71	72	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	0	4	14.2	12.5	1.76	13.6	17.4	-3.80
Jermaine O'Neal	38	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	0	4	14.5	13.2	1.31	17.1	13.3	3.74
Marquis Daniels	42	39	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	9	-14	14.0	13.5	0.54	15.2	14.3	0.87
Ronald Murray	47	47	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	0	4	14.0	13.5	0.55	14.5	14.8	-0.34

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	45	46	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-9	14	12.3	16.6	-4.26	12.0	15.1	-3.11
Desmond Mason	52	53	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-5	6	15.7	13.6	2.18	12.7	14.8	-2.06
Michael Ruffin	26	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-3	2	15.7	14.3	1.37	14.3	13.5	0.86
Bobby Simmons	36	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-3	2	17.2	13.3	3.92	15.7	12.6	3.03
Charlie Villanueva	67	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	0	-4	13.6	16.8	-3.20	13.5	14.0	-0.45
Royal Ivey	49	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	3	-10	15.0	14.3	0.71	15.7	11.8	3.87
Michael Redd	82	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	0	-4	14.2	16.6	-2.35	13.0	17.2	-4.27
Ramon Sessions	62	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	0	-4	15.8	12.9	2.81	14.4	12.7	1.75
Andrew Bogut	86	88	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	1	-6	14.2	17.5	-3.36	13.4	15.4	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.19,0.02,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, MIL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.5%
MIL 111, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.01,0,0	93.4%
BOS 102, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.07,0.06,0,0	93.3%