NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	9.0 [110]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +47.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	7.7 [200]		LVP	Devin Brown (CLE): -24.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.24,0.21,0.16	0.02	0.14	0.00	13	63%	0.28	4	-0.12	4	25%	-0.04
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Calvin Booth	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	69%	0.08	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.01	13	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Willie Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12	0.01	-0.14	-0.01	12	53%	0.00	2	-0.12	8	87%	0.05
Thaddeus Young	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.23	-0.03	-0.20	-0.01	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.47	0.47	0.15	0.32	-0.00	18	67%	0.50	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0,0.24,0.24	0.24	-0.01	0.26	0.02	16	56%	0.37	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	11	64%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	0.00	5	20%	-0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	13	27%	-0.13	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.0	25.2	14.6	30.2	2.4	33.8	133.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +72.3%

PHI -13.8%

PHI -16.2%

CLE +14.6%

PHI -6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	14.6	17.6	15.4	97.8	102.2	105.7
season	15.2	16.4		104.0	104.0
opponent	15.2	16.2		104.1	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.0	13.0	14.0	19.4	14.6
CLE	18.3	17.0	17.3	17.5	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	23	24	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.01	7	-10	17	15.7	14.3	1.47	15.9	18.2	-2.29
Calvin Booth	7	7	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-4	5	14.0	14.7	-0.70	14.0	17.9	-3.85
Reggie Evans	51	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	0	-3	15.3	13.7	1.59	17.7	17.4	0.32
Willie Green	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	1	-5	14.1	15.0	-0.94	18.5	16.9	1.59
Lou Williams	55	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-4	5	14.8	14.4	0.35	16.9	18.5	-1.59
Thaddeus Young	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-4	5	15.3	13.9	1.44	17.4	17.7	-0.36
Andre Iguodala	83	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	1	-5	14.7	14.0	0.70	17.9	14.0	3.85
Samuel Dalembert	75	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.49	-5	2	-7	14.0	18.0	-4.03	18.1	14.7	3.47
Andre Miller	74	73	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.47	-9	6	-15	14.2	16.5	-2.26	17.5	17.7	-0.17

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	61	61	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.52	13	-10	23	16.3	20.2	-3.83	15.2	13.4	1.87
Delonte West	72	73	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-8	19	17.8	16.6	1.12	14.4	15.6	-1.16
LeBron James	76	77	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-4	11	17.6	17.3	0.28	14.9	12.9	2.01
Devin Brown	79	80	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.46	-3	6	-9	17.5	18.1	-0.62	14.5	16.0	-1.52
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	59	59	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.45	-5	8	-13	18.0	16.6	1.43	13.7	16.4	-2.61
Dwayne Jones	7	6	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	-2	7	14.9	17.8	-2.92	16.8	14.5	2.35
Daniel Gibson	23	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.08	0	3	-3	17.7	17.5	0.14	13.2	15.2	-1.94
Damon Jones	8	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	4	-5	15.2	17.8	-2.53	21.5	14.0	7.52
Anderson Varejao	41	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	9	-15	18.9	16.4	2.51	14.5	14.7	-0.18
Wally Szczerbiak	19	19	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	9	-15	18.2	17.4	0.77	14.4	14.7	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.73,0.54,0.53,0.21,0.22,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, SEA 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.34,0.37,0.53,0.81,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.42,1	91.8%
BOS 107, MIN 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.53,0.17,0.43,0.42,1	91.4%
CHI 110, DEN 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.38,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.6,0.45,0.29,0.45,0.28,1	91.2%