NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	114		Excitement	8.0 [226]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +29.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	111		Comeback	2.4 [74]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -19.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.14	0.07	-0.01	20	60%	0.22	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.03	6	76%	0.24	2	-0.11	5	100%	0.05
Darko Milicic	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	14	57%	0.18	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Jason Collins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Juan Carlos Navarro	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	67%	0.10	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Javaris Crittenton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	45%	0.08	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Mike Conley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.32	0.01	0.04	37	65%	0.31	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	53%	0.04	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.11,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	17	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.08	-0.01	9	55%	0.01	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	10	30%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	7	14%	-0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.6	29.6	15.7	26.3	1.8	39.6	142.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +49.9%

MEM +31.4%

LAL -14.6%

LAL -22.5%

MEM +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.9	15.4	114.0	112.1	105.7
season	14.9	14.6		103.3	110.6
opponent	15.2	14.9		104.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.2	13.2	14.5	14.3	14.1
LAL	13.5	16.8	13.8	15.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	91	90	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-7	17	13.9	15.8	-1.89	15.0	13.4	1.59
Javaris Crittenton	34	36	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-9	21	14.1	14.0	0.04	15.9	14.3	1.66
Mike Miller	75	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.43	-4	7	-11	14.5	12.8	1.73	14.2	17.0	-2.79
Mike Conley	50	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	-8	19	14.0	14.1	-0.12	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Darko Milicic	72	68	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	-3	9	13.8	14.6	-0.81	15.0	14.7	0.26
Kyle Lowry	50	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.45	-8	11	-19	14.1	14.0	0.12	15.1	14.7	0.42
Jason Collins	28	30	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.33	-4	7	-11	14.6	13.8	0.81	15.2	14.8	0.45
Hakim Warrick	62	62	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	4	-5	14.0	14.1	-0.03	14.4	15.7	-1.30
Juan Carlos Navarro	38	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	10	-17	13.6	14.3	-0.73	15.3	14.7	0.66

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	50	50	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.05	2	-5	7	14.0	15.8	-1.76	14.8	13.3	1.48
Vladimir Radmanovic	49	50	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-6	9	14.4	15.3	-0.91	15.0	13.1	1.96
Ronny Turiaf	49	52	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.31	13	-16	29	15.7	14.1	1.51	14.3	13.8	0.44
Chris Mihm	11	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-3	3	14.4	15.0	-0.59	18.3	13.6	4.70
Kobe Bryant	86	88	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-4	5	14.7	16.5	-1.81	14.2	12.8	1.39
Sasha Vujacic	50	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-4	5	15.7	14.1	1.56	13.6	14.5	-0.84
Lamar Odom	78	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	3	-9	14.7	15.6	-0.93	13.7	15.3	-1.67
Luke Walton	38	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	3	-9	15.2	14.7	0.48	13.4	14.5	-1.14
DJ Mbenga	35	35	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.01	-18	15	-33	14.2	15.2	-1.02	13.1	14.6	-1.54
Jordan Farmar	49	50	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.47	-5	2	-7	15.8	14.0	1.76	13.3	14.8	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.06,0.22,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 114, PHX 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.08,0	93.9%
BKN 90, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	92.8%
LAL 100, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.45,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.7%