NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	2.5 [1250]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +11.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	86		Comeback	1.3 [1092]		LVP	Charlie Villanueva (MIL): -8.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	12	66%	0.14	2	-0.02	14	79%	0.01
Brian Cook	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	7	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	72%	0.02	3	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	39%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	15	50%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.13	0.01	-0.10	13	40%	0.01	5	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	13	69%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	48%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Awvee Storey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	41%	-0.01	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	9	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	16	22%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	16	32%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.0	2.5	29.7	24.0	21.4	1.7	28.6	139.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +30.1%

ORL +10.3%

MIL -6.7%

ORL +12.0%

ORL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.4	108.4	88.7	105.7
season	15.1	15.8		109.9	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.6		110.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.4	15.9	14.0	17.4	15.1
MIL	14.8	14.1	15.4	15.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	73	76	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.09	19	-2	21	14.0	18.9	-4.95	14.6	15.9	-1.23
Maurice Evans	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.17	19	-2	21	13.8	17.4	-3.55	14.5	15.6	-1.09
Dwight Howard	65	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	-1	19	14.6	16.3	-1.70	15.0	14.6	0.43
Carlos Arroyo	61	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	4	9	14.2	16.8	-2.63	14.6	15.4	-0.84
Hedo Turkoglu	69	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	8	1	15.7	13.7	2.00	15.3	13.9	1.40
Brian Cook	38	40	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	7	3	15.7	14.7	1.01	15.1	14.8	0.35
Keyon Dooling	34	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	13	-9	16.8	14.2	2.63	15.4	14.6	0.84
Adonal Foyle	25	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	16	-15	16.0	14.8	1.27	14.8	14.9	-0.07
Keith Bogans	31	33	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.17	-2	19	-21	17.7	13.9	3.82	15.6	14.5	1.03
Pat Garrity	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	17.4	15.0	2.42	13.0	15.0	-1.98
JJ Redick	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	16.2	15.0	1.25	14.1	15.0	-0.81
Marcin Gortat	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	17.4	15.0	2.42	13.0	15.0	-1.98

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	26	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-21	25	14.5	15.0	-0.49	17.0	14.4	2.66
Awvee Storey	29	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.19	5	-22	27	14.1	15.2	-1.13	15.3	15.0	0.24
Dan Gadzuric	24	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-14	11	17.0	14.2	2.79	16.0	14.8	1.18
Royal Ivey	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.21	5	-22	27	15.4	14.6	0.87	16.7	14.2	2.51
Michael Ruffin	41	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-14	11	14.5	15.2	-0.75	14.7	15.4	-0.61
Jake Voskuhl	19	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-16	15	12.6	15.5	-2.88	13.5	15.5	-2.03
Bobby Simmons	13	12	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-7	-3	15.8	14.8	1.01	17.2	14.8	2.45
Yi Jianlian	59	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-16	15	14.7	15.2	-0.56	16.3	13.3	3.01
Desmond Mason	61	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	1	-19	14.5	15.5	-0.96	13.8	17.1	-3.28
Charlie Villanueva	52	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.22	-22	5	-27	15.4	14.3	1.05	14.2	16.1	-1.89
Mo Williams	57	55	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	0.13	-19	2	-21	14.9	14.9	-0.05	14.1	16.5	-2.41
Michael Redd	68	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.19	-22	5	-27	15.2	14.1	1.13	15.0	15.3	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	97.5%
POR 98, CLE 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SAS 96, LAC 67	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%