NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	96		Excitement	2.0 [1236]		MVP	Steve Kerr (SAS): +6.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	67		Comeback	1.1 [1060]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -9.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	4	111%	0.06	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.09	16	47%	0.03	3	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Danny Ferry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	5	90%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	65%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	86%	0.06	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	12	35%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	6	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	56%	0.02	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	-0.07	9	30%	-0.02	4	-0.06	2	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	18	34%	-0.08	1	-0.01	8	62%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	27.1	15.5	26.4	2.6	26.0	123.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +35.9%

LAC -3.3%

SAS +12.1%

SAS +4.1%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	17.0	16.5	15.5	110.3	78.8	100.9
season	15.9	16.1		103.4	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.6	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.6	20.2	14.7	18.1	17.0
LAC	18.0	17.7	15.3	15.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	61	60	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.41	32	-3	35	15.8	19.7	-3.86	17.0	15.3	1.72
Derek Anderson	51	51	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.37	28	1	27	16.0	18.3	-2.29	17.5	15.0	2.54
David Robinson	47	47	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.25	23	6	17	16.6	17.5	-0.90	17.9	14.7	3.18
Terry Porter	50	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.26	21	8	13	17.4	16.4	1.06	17.1	15.7	1.40
Danny Ferry	50	48	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.16	15	14	1	16.8	17.2	-0.35	16.6	16.4	0.25
Malik Rose	53	51	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.15	12	17	-5	17.3	16.5	0.75	15.9	17.4	-1.53
Steve Kerr	50	49	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	22	-15	17.2	16.8	0.40	15.6	17.7	-2.03
Derrick Dial	31	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	24	-19	18.4	16.2	2.22	15.0	17.3	-2.26
Jaren Jackson	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	28	-27	18.1	16.6	1.48	14.8	17.1	-2.32
Shawnelle Scott	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	18.5	16.5	1.96	15.0	16.9	-1.92

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	19	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-28	27	15.0	16.9	-1.92	18.5	16.5	1.96
Derek Strong	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-31	33	14.0	16.8	-2.83	19.2	16.7	2.51
Quentin Richardson	30	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-27	25	14.8	17.4	-2.62	18.1	16.4	1.75
Keyon Dooling	42	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-25	21	14.5	18.4	-3.85	17.3	16.7	0.57
Corey Maggette	49	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-24	19	15.6	17.7	-2.18	17.9	15.9	1.98
Darius Miles	42	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.23	-14	-15	1	15.9	17.0	-1.12	16.8	17.2	-0.39
Sean Rooks	25	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-20	11	15.3	17.0	-1.66	15.8	17.4	-1.65
Cherokee Parks	22	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.24	-17	-12	-5	18.2	15.9	2.28	13.7	18.0	-4.21
Michael Olowokandi	41	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.24	-19	-10	-9	17.9	15.2	2.72	17.0	17.0	-0.07
Jeff McInnis	43	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.31	-25	-4	-21	18.4	14.5	3.85	16.7	17.3	-0.57
Eric Piatkowski	38	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.31	-25	-4	-21	18.6	14.8	3.87	17.0	17.0	0.02
Lamar Odom	64	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.29	-26	-3	-23	16.9	15.2	1.67	16.6	18.3	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, CLE 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
DAL 97, GSW 78	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
HOU 99, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	97.2%