NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Excitement	6.0 [580]		MVP	Carl Landry (HOU): +14.0%
Houston Rockets	97		Comeback	1.2 [1202]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -15.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	4	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Ryan Gomes	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	13	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Chris Richard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.01	0.03	15	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.04	0.04	21	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	7	67%	0.04	6	-0.15	4	50%	-0.02
Randy Foye	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	8	31%	-0.04	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	4	73%	0.14	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.02	0.04	15	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.06	-0.02	25	41%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	3	67%	0.02	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	16	37%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-0.02	12	31%	-0.02	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	26.5	20.6	27.5	1.8	26.5	126.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +15.6%

HOU +4.2%

HOU +27.2%

HOU +5.6%

MIN -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	16.8	15.4	94.5	104.3	105.7
season	15.9	16.2		102.2	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.3	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.3	15.4	14.5	13.7	14.5
HOU	18.4	16.6	14.8	17.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	35	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	-5	-1	13.5	15.1	-1.58	16.4	17.1	-0.66
Chris Richard	18	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	-6	1	15.1	14.3	0.71	15.1	17.2	-2.19
Al Jefferson	67	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-7	3	14.5	14.3	0.20	17.2	15.8	1.37
Craig Smith	30	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-2	-7	15.0	14.2	0.77	16.9	16.8	0.11
Ryan Gomes	67	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-7	3	14.0	15.7	-1.66	16.9	16.6	0.29
Randy Foye	60	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-6	1	15.4	12.7	2.69	16.9	16.6	0.24
Rashad McCants	54	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-3	-5	14.1	15.0	-0.87	16.4	17.3	-0.92
Marko Jaric	68	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-2	-7	14.0	16.0	-2.09	17.0	16.2	0.87
Kirk Snyder	56	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-6	1	15.1	13.5	1.58	17.1	16.4	0.66

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	78	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-3	17	16.4	18.7	-2.31	14.6	13.8	0.82
Charles Hayes	54	50	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	-1	13	16.3	17.5	-1.15	14.2	14.8	-0.54
Shane Battier	82	80	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	5	1	17.1	14.7	2.35	14.3	15.6	-1.31
Rafer Alston	62	61	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	7	-3	16.5	17.4	-0.94	14.1	15.3	-1.17
Bobby Jackson	31	30	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	4	3	17.4	16.5	0.94	15.3	14.1	1.17
Carl Landry	31	32	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	3	5	16.5	16.9	-0.37	14.6	14.4	0.12
Dikembe Mutombo	33	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	8	-5	16.7	16.8	-0.11	15.5	13.9	1.67
Luis Scola	68	66	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	12	-13	17.3	15.4	1.96	14.1	15.5	-1.43
Luther Head	26	26	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	9	-7	17.0	16.7	0.34	14.6	14.4	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.93,0.97,1,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 93, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.96,0.87,0.86,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.5%
UTA 95, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
NYK 83, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.1%