inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 108 Excitement7.7 [282] MVPShawne Williams (IND): +33.4%
Chicago Bulls 101 Comeback16.5 [26] LVPLarry Hughes (CHI): -29.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawne Williams0.330,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.33,0.33,0.330.070.26-0.00571%0.3300.00475%0.00
Troy Murphy0.170,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.160.040.031280%0.232-0.05683%0.02
Mike Dunleavy0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.140.140.050.051378%0.273-0.136100%0.03
Kareem Rush0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.03-0.00462%0.0600.0000%0.00
David Harrison-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00367%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Jeff Foster-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.01350%-0.0100.0020%-0.04
Travis Diener-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01440%-0.0100.002100%0.03
Danny Granger-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.01-0.032041%0.012-0.04475%0.01
Marquis Daniels-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.06-0.00937%-0.033-0.1010%-0.01
Ronald Murray-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.13-0.04-0.011425%-0.122-0.0400%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.100.070.01980%0.191-0.022100%0.01
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.011100%0.0400.002100%0.01
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.02450%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Luol Deng0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.030.030.06-0.020.011967%0.185-0.154100%0.03
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.001462%0.103-0.07683%0.01
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.001436%-0.023-0.1000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.05-0.110.011233%-0.1600.0000%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.011125%-0.105-0.20650%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.21.828.015.827.11.836.3133.0
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +40.1%
IND +7.4%
CHI -11.8%
IND +13.7%
IND +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDCHINBAINDCHINBA
this game14.414.415.4109.1100.0105.7
season13.815.0104.5102.2
opponent15.515.2105.4105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.216.014.513.214.4
CHI13.516.012.715.614.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Dunleavy81820.92-0.421.340.3320-133313.916.8-2.8614.812.72.07
Shawne Williams25250.82-0.331.150.4413-61913.214.9-1.7014.414.30.10
Troy Murphy80820.75-0.251.010.2617-102714.115.9-1.8114.613.21.49
Travis Diener38390.67-0.170.840.419-21113.814.9-1.0913.814.7-0.89
Danny Granger86870.430.070.350.3143114.613.21.3914.215.5-1.32
Ronald Murray6162-0.170.67-0.84-0.11-29-1114.913.81.0914.713.80.89
David Harrison2628-0.190.69-0.870.05-815-2313.014.9-1.8914.214.4-0.16
Jeff Foster4545-0.230.73-0.97-0.17-29-1116.712.64.0914.114.6-0.54
Marquis Daniels3436-0.250.75-1.00-0.08-613-1914.314.5-0.2614.314.4-0.05
Kareem Rush1919-0.250.75-1.010.04-1017-2715.914.11.8113.214.6-1.49

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyrus Thomas32310.18-0.680.860.035-121714.814.20.6118.212.75.52
Aaron Gray12100.03-0.530.560.001-8914.614.30.2517.814.13.74
Thabo Sefolosha14130.03-0.530.560.030-7714.214.4-0.1816.214.21.98
Andres Nocioni64-0.00-0.500.490.03-1-6515.814.31.5617.214.32.93
Joakim Noah5350-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-4114.214.5-0.2913.215.7-2.49
Drew Gooden7779-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.19-4-3-114.215.0-0.8314.215.5-1.34
Larry Hughes8180-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.33-1-6513.617.4-3.8513.518.2-4.67
Luol Deng8686-0.510.01-0.52-0.33-6-1-514.314.5-0.1213.918.1-4.19
Ben Gordon5858-0.540.04-0.58-0.36-6-1-514.614.10.5215.213.41.82
Kirk Hinrich8684-0.890.39-1.29-0.31-2013-3315.011.03.9514.116.2-2.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.54,0.34,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 101, SEA 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.75,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.61,0.64,0.16,0,091.8%
LAC 119, NYK 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.68,0.37,0.57,0.08,091.7%
BOS 94, ATL 870.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.61,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.09,091.7%