NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	108		Excitement	7.7 [282]		MVP	Shawne Williams (IND): +33.4%
Chicago Bulls	101		Comeback	16.5 [26]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CHI): -29.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawne Williams	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.07	0.26	-0.00	5	71%	0.33	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.04	0.03	12	80%	0.23	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.05	13	78%	0.27	3	-0.13	6	100%	0.03
Kareem Rush	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Travis Diener	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Danny Granger	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	20	41%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	9	37%	-0.03	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	14	25%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.01	9	80%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	19	67%	0.18	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.03
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	14	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	14	36%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	12	33%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	11	25%	-0.10	5	-0.20	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	28.0	15.8	27.1	1.8	36.3	133.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.1%

IND +7.4%

CHI -11.8%

IND +13.7%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.4	15.4	109.1	100.0	105.7
season	13.8	15.0		104.5	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		105.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.2	16.0	14.5	13.2	14.4
CHI	13.5	16.0	12.7	15.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	81	82	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.33	20	-13	33	13.9	16.8	-2.86	14.8	12.7	2.07
Shawne Williams	25	25	0.82	-0.33	1.15	0.44	13	-6	19	13.2	14.9	-1.70	14.4	14.3	0.10
Troy Murphy	80	82	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.26	17	-10	27	14.1	15.9	-1.81	14.6	13.2	1.49
Travis Diener	38	39	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-2	11	13.8	14.9	-1.09	13.8	14.7	-0.89
Danny Granger	86	87	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	3	1	14.6	13.2	1.39	14.2	15.5	-1.32
Ronald Murray	61	62	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.11	-2	9	-11	14.9	13.8	1.09	14.7	13.8	0.89
David Harrison	26	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.05	-8	15	-23	13.0	14.9	-1.89	14.2	14.4	-0.16
Jeff Foster	45	45	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.17	-2	9	-11	16.7	12.6	4.09	14.1	14.6	-0.54
Marquis Daniels	34	36	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.08	-6	13	-19	14.3	14.5	-0.26	14.3	14.4	-0.05
Kareem Rush	19	19	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.04	-10	17	-27	15.9	14.1	1.81	13.2	14.6	-1.49

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrus Thomas	32	31	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.03	5	-12	17	14.8	14.2	0.61	18.2	12.7	5.52
Aaron Gray	12	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-8	9	14.6	14.3	0.25	17.8	14.1	3.74
Thabo Sefolosha	14	13	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-7	7	14.2	14.4	-0.18	16.2	14.2	1.98
Andres Nocioni	6	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-6	5	15.8	14.3	1.56	17.2	14.3	2.93
Joakim Noah	53	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-4	1	14.2	14.5	-0.29	13.2	15.7	-2.49
Drew Gooden	77	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-3	-1	14.2	15.0	-0.83	14.2	15.5	-1.34
Larry Hughes	81	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-6	5	13.6	17.4	-3.85	13.5	18.2	-4.67
Luol Deng	86	86	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	-1	-5	14.3	14.5	-0.12	13.9	18.1	-4.19
Ben Gordon	58	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	-1	-5	14.6	14.1	0.52	15.2	13.4	1.82
Kirk Hinrich	86	84	-0.89	0.39	-1.29	-0.31	-20	13	-33	15.0	11.0	3.95	14.1	16.2	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.54,0.34,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, SEA 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.75,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.61,0.64,0.16,0,0	91.8%
LAC 119, NYK 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.68,0.37,0.57,0.08,0	91.7%
BOS 94, ATL 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.61,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.09,0	91.7%