NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	3.1 [1162]		MVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): +14.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Comeback	1.0 [1239]		LVP	Jared Jeffries (NYK): -6.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	6	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Malik Rose	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	13	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	9	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	19	40%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.01	0.04	17	72%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.12	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.00	-0.04	21	55%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	75%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	12%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	27.5	15.5	24.3	2.5	30.3	125.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +41.9%

MIN +3.9%

NYK -1.1%

MIN +4.3%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	16.8	14.5	15.4	102.2	122.6	105.7
season	15.7	15.9		103.1	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		109.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.5	16.0	16.2	17.6	16.8
MIN	12.0	14.0	13.8	19.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Renaldo Balkman	36	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-21	21	18.1	15.9	2.11	14.5	14.6	-0.12
Jared Jeffries	43	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-22	23	17.0	16.6	0.37	14.0	15.0	-1.09
Randolph Morris	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.23	-14	-7	-7	17.4	16.5	0.89	17.5	13.3	4.27
Mardy Collins	64	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-15	9	16.8	16.7	0.06	14.6	14.5	0.12
Malik Rose	55	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-12	3	17.1	16.3	0.79	14.3	14.9	-0.60
Wilson Chandler	41	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.24	-19	-2	-17	16.5	17.0	-0.49	15.7	13.5	2.28
Fred Jones	60	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	-7	-7	16.4	17.5	-1.17	15.1	13.5	1.60
Jamal Crawford	64	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.09	-21	0	-21	16.7	17.0	-0.26	13.3	17.4	-4.07
David Lee	65	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.15	-23	2	-25	16.0	18.7	-2.68	13.8	16.5	-2.72

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	68	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.16	25	-4	29	13.0	18.6	-5.60	16.6	17.3	-0.69
Al Jefferson	59	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.23	27	-6	33	13.1	17.1	-4.05	16.0	18.2	-2.25
Ryan Gomes	63	61	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.26	27	-6	33	13.0	17.9	-4.90	16.3	17.7	-1.32
Kirk Snyder	50	47	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	8	5	14.1	15.0	-0.88	15.6	18.0	-2.36
Marko Jaric	53	52	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	8	5	16.3	12.3	3.99	17.0	16.5	0.47
Rashad McCants	65	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	17	-13	14.7	14.1	0.58	16.8	16.7	0.10
Corey Brewer	43	44	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	13	-5	15.0	14.1	0.88	18.0	15.6	2.36
Mark Madsen	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	18	-15	25.0	14.0	11.05	14.6	16.9	-2.31
Craig Smith	32	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.19	-7	28	-35	16.4	13.6	2.83	18.1	16.1	2.00
Chris Richard	27	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.15	-8	29	-37	17.3	13.4	3.92	18.4	16.1	2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 73, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
ORL 78, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.4%
VAN 80, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%