NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	1.9 [1302]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): +8.1%
Orlando Magic	113		Comeback	1.0 [1110]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -7.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	15	50%	0.05	4	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	70%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Rodney Carney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	9	52%	-0.01	2	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	12	38%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jason Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.05	11	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	0.00	-0.07	9	10%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	15	60%	0.08	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.04	8	76%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.03	6	80%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	76%	0.07	4	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	50%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	70%	0.03	5	-0.04	7	100%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	8	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	31.4	16.7	27.2	2.5	26.2	131.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +38.9%

ORL +0.4%

ORL +8.7%

ORL +1.6%

ORL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.3	16.2	15.4	100.0	120.2	105.7
season	15.2	15.1		104.0	109.9
opponent	15.6	16.2		104.6	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	14.5	15.3	12.5	14.3
ORL	14.4	16.8	16.0	17.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	11	12	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-23	28	9.5	14.9	-5.49	14.9	16.4	-1.45
Shavlik Randolph	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-27	36	12.8	14.5	-1.68	15.0	16.4	-1.35
Kevin Ollie	27	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-32	46	13.1	14.8	-1.72	17.6	15.6	1.93
Jason Smith	39	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-24	30	12.4	15.6	-3.17	17.5	15.3	2.17
Lou Williams	64	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.37	9	-27	36	12.6	17.7	-5.10	16.9	14.7	2.15
Reggie Evans	42	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-11	4	14.4	14.3	0.09	16.3	16.1	0.19
Rodney Carney	59	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-21	24	12.6	17.1	-4.52	16.7	15.4	1.29
Thaddeus Young	55	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-4	-10	14.2	14.4	-0.16	16.7	15.5	1.14
Samuel Dalembert	27	27	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.41	-26	8	-34	18.3	12.7	5.63	15.3	16.5	-1.24
Willie Green	31	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.40	-27	9	-36	17.7	12.6	5.10	14.7	16.9	-2.15
Andre Iguodala	57	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.30	-27	9	-36	15.6	12.3	3.32	15.2	17.6	-2.35
Andre Miller	52	50	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.53	-35	17	-52	16.1	12.1	4.00	15.4	17.1	-1.67

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	56	57	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.49	35	-17	52	15.6	17.0	-1.33	15.6	12.3	3.36
Maurice Evans	53	54	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.34	25	-7	32	15.5	17.1	-1.58	15.4	12.9	2.47
Dwight Howard	45	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.26	22	-4	26	14.9	17.4	-2.48	16.0	12.7	3.33
Jameer Nelson	52	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.45	28	-10	38	15.3	17.3	-2.04	15.0	13.5	1.49
Rashard Lewis	65	67	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.17	17	1	16	16.1	16.3	-0.19	14.6	13.6	0.99
Keyon Dooling	34	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	17	-16	17.8	15.2	2.57	13.8	14.6	-0.80
Keith Bogans	42	42	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.16	11	7	4	17.7	15.0	2.73	13.9	14.6	-0.76
Adonal Foyle	46	46	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.32	-7	25	-32	17.4	15.0	2.46	12.0	16.4	-4.39
Brian Cook	37	37	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.38	-12	30	-42	17.0	15.6	1.40	12.5	15.4	-2.89
Carlos Arroyo	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	27	-36	15.0	16.4	-1.35	12.8	14.5	-1.68
Pat Garrity	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	27	-36	15.0	16.4	-1.35	12.8	14.5	-1.68
JJ Redick	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	30	-42	15.9	16.2	-0.29	12.3	14.7	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 85, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
SAS 86, POR 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
WAS 73, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%