NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	5.0 [797]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +14.3%
Dallas Mavericks	100		Comeback	1.5 [321]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -11.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14	0.00	0.11	-0.03	15	45%	0.14	0	0.00	8	87%	0.07
Kobe Bryant	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.03	23	56%	0.14	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07	0.12	-0.02	0.03	13	75%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	12	39%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	8	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
DJ Mbenga	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	0.01	10	35%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.04	0.06	23	60%	0.15	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.03	10	73%	0.15	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	44%	-0.03	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	4	20%	-0.03	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	10	70%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.3	28.6	17.3	30.8	1.8	37.9	146.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +1.3%

LAL +11.5%

LAL +21.4%

LAL +10.3%

LAL +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.8	13.6	15.4	103.0	103.1	105.7
season	14.6	16.1		110.6	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		105.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	14.8	15.5	18.2	15.8
DAL	15.3	14.6	12.7	11.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	85	82	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	-2	6	15.5	17.5	-2.02	13.3	15.3	-1.97
Vladimir Radmanovic	64	60	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-12	26	16.1	15.2	0.88	13.5	13.7	-0.13
Kobe Bryant	88	87	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	-5	12	16.0	13.5	2.50	13.8	11.9	1.89
Derek Fisher	65	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	-6	14	15.4	16.6	-1.20	13.2	14.3	-1.07
Ronny Turiaf	68	67	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-5	12	15.2	16.9	-1.70	14.0	12.7	1.25
Sasha Vujacic	45	44	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.49	-10	12	-22	16.5	15.1	1.36	13.1	14.0	-0.97
Jordan Farmar	34	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.26	-6	8	-14	16.6	15.4	1.20	14.3	13.2	1.07
DJ Mbenga	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	4	-6	16.0	15.7	0.26	14.1	13.5	0.56
Luke Walton	35	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	14	-26	15.2	16.1	-0.88	13.7	13.5	0.13

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	41	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-3	4	14.0	13.3	0.65	16.1	15.6	0.52
Devean George	31	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.36	11	-13	24	11.9	14.4	-2.44	17.2	15.1	2.12
Tyronn Lue	32	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.37	11	-13	24	13.4	13.7	-0.24	16.7	15.3	1.31
Malik Allen	24	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-1	0	14.3	13.4	0.92	16.7	15.4	1.25
Jason Terry	50	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.37	2	-4	6	13.5	13.7	-0.24	16.2	15.2	1.02
Jason Kidd	57	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-1	0	13.0	14.4	-1.36	15.6	16.1	-0.47
Dirk Nowitzki	88	89	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.54	7	-9	16	13.1	18.7	-5.59	15.9	14.7	1.19
Josh Howard	72	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	6	-14	13.8	12.9	0.97	15.5	16.6	-1.15
Brandon Bass	29	30	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.11	-19	17	-36	15.4	12.8	2.54	13.8	16.6	-2.82
Jerry Stackhouse	61	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	11	-24	14.2	12.5	1.70	14.9	17.2	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 88, DET 73	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
CHI 113, CHA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%
BOS 101, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.1%