inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 110 Excitement5.1 [784] MVPCarlos Boozer (UTA): +19.7%
Utah Jazz 116 Comeback1.8 [691] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -16.8%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Terry0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.11-0.01-0.021560%0.1300.005100%0.02
Josh Howard0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.11-0.040.011374%0.123-0.06887%0.02
Jason Kidd0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.060.100.050.081070%0.112-0.05786%-0.00
Devean George0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.07-0.030.02767%0.0200.00475%-0.00
Erick Dampier0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01360%0.042-0.03450%-0.02
Brandon Bass-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Malik Allen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.170,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.02-0.070.071757%0.076-0.246100%0.03

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Boozer0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.120.06-0.011967%0.212-0.014100%0.04
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.110.02-0.03875%0.171-0.024100%0.02
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.130.040.021069%0.1400.00967%0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.020.003100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.070.070.090.020.041063%0.0700.007100%0.01
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00267%0.0300.002100%0.01
Deron Williams0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.060.02-0.071747%0.094-0.072100%0.01
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ronnie Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0210%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.03-0.060.02469%0.032-0.085100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.62.529.015.025.01.838.0140.7
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +22.8%
UTA +11.8%
DAL -2.2%
UTA +17.6%
UTA +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALUTANBADALUTANBA
this game14.815.415.4115.8120.8105.7
season16.115.5108.9111.2
opponent15.015.4105.0105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL16.314.415.013.514.8
UTA14.315.017.714.715.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Bass28300.24-0.740.98-0.029-152415.414.50.8915.915.10.75
Devean George52500.15-0.650.81-0.3216-223813.316.7-3.3814.915.9-0.99
Jamaal Magloire11100.05-0.550.61-0.126-121813.315.0-1.7315.815.30.50
Malik Allen1312-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-7814.814.8-0.0416.115.20.83
Juwan Howard66-0.04-0.460.42-0.040-6611.315.0-3.7013.215.5-2.33
Jerry Stackhouse2525-0.04-0.460.42-0.133-91213.315.3-2.0614.415.7-1.29
Dirk Nowitzki7676-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.22-82-1014.715.3-0.6415.614.41.14
Jason Kidd8080-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.19-104-1414.914.50.4015.415.00.43
Josh Howard7173-0.500.00-0.50-0.15-126-1815.412.92.5215.614.70.92
Jason Terry6669-0.640.14-0.78-0.34-104-1415.014.40.5115.415.20.24
Erick Dampier4749-0.770.27-1.05-0.04-2519-4416.713.03.6815.115.6-0.51

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Boozer77760.59-0.090.690.4551415.713.91.8214.117.6-3.54
Deron Williams91890.51-0.010.530.288-21015.315.8-0.4715.29.55.66
Mehmet Okur83810.51-0.010.530.1612-61815.216.5-1.2815.212.62.61
Kyle Korver50500.370.130.230.3415-414.815.9-1.1114.015.7-1.73
Matt Harpring57570.270.230.030.38-410-1414.916.1-1.2214.814.70.11
Andrei Kirilenko1090.240.26-0.02-0.2015-92414.215.5-1.2918.014.53.53
Ronnie Brewer46450.130.37-0.23-0.0151415.914.81.1115.714.01.73
Jason Hart110.020.48-0.470.0206-611.015.4-4.400.015.0-14.96
CJ Miles2929-0.010.51-0.510.14-511-1616.714.81.9613.715.3-1.55
Ronnie Price45-0.030.53-0.560.03-28-1017.015.31.7211.415.0-3.59
Paul Millsap3233-0.110.61-0.720.04-511-1614.915.6-0.6315.514.41.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.67,0.92,1,1,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 106, GSW 1170.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,193.6%
SEA 98, LAL 1090.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.82,0.86,0.99,1,1,191.2%
ATL 103, BOS 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.79,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.98,191.0%