NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	104		Excitement	7.5 [297]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): +23.6%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	1.3 [387]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -12.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0.12	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.03	23	51%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.05	0.02	-0.03	15	53%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jarrett Jack	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	7	53%	0.17	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Channing Frye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	86%	0.07	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
James Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	6	71%	0.04	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.04
Martell Webster	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	0.03	13	50%	0.02	4	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.09	-0.01	21	60%	0.26	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	16	61%	0.24	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.09	-0.02	18	44%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	10	65%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.6	26.2	15.5	28.2	1.8	30.6	128.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +21.0%

GSW +2.3%

POR -1.2%

GSW +29.0%

POR -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	14.6	15.4	111.8	117.0	105.7
season	16.7	13.5		105.5	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.4		107.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.3	15.5	16.1	14.8	16.2
GSW	11.2	13.8	16.6	17.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	50	52	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-8	10	17.1	15.2	1.89	14.8	14.3	0.49
Channing Frye	15	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-2	-2	19.1	15.7	3.41	10.7	15.3	-4.57
Steve Blake	64	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-4	2	17.2	13.9	3.35	14.0	15.8	-1.84
Martell Webster	33	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	0	-6	16.1	16.3	-0.18	13.0	15.5	-2.52
James Jones	56	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-7	8	16.3	16.1	0.25	15.6	13.1	2.56
Jarrett Jack	52	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-6	6	14.7	18.0	-3.30	15.3	13.6	1.74
Travis Outlaw	58	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-3	0	15.6	17.2	-1.64	15.3	13.6	1.70
Brandon Roy	72	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.30	-9	3	-12	16.2	16.3	-0.17	14.5	15.0	-0.57
LaMarcus Aldridge	65	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	3	-12	15.6	17.7	-2.11	14.8	14.2	0.51

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelenna Azubuike	34	33	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-3	12	15.6	14.1	1.49	16.9	15.8	1.09
Stephen Jackson	86	85	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	-3	12	14.7	14.0	0.66	16.7	11.2	5.42
Monta Ellis	86	84	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	0	6	14.5	15.6	-1.11	16.0	18.0	-1.99
Austin Croshere	28	29	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	3	0	17.3	13.5	3.82	14.6	17.0	-2.40
Baron Davis	74	74	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	7	-8	15.1	12.9	2.17	15.2	20.1	-4.84
Matt Barnes	22	22	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	4	-2	13.5	15.0	-1.50	15.8	16.3	-0.57
Brandan Wright	37	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	1	4	13.5	15.3	-1.85	16.1	16.3	-0.20
Al Harrington	46	45	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	8	-10	14.6	14.6	0.05	16.8	15.6	1.24
Chris Webber	17	17	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	1	4	10.9	15.4	-4.55	18.4	15.7	2.70
Mickael Pietrus	40	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	12	-18	14.4	14.8	-0.40	16.8	15.8	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.85,0.77,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 84, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	93.0%
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	92.8%
POR 92, CHA 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1	92.5%