NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	113		Excitement	5.9 [605]		MVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): +15.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	92		Comeback	3.3 [775]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -17.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	10	80%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.09	0.09	9	71%	0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kyle Korver	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.02	11	68%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Paul Millsap	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	74%	0.13	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.01	0.07	6	100%	0.10	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.07
Matt Harpring	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	14	46%	0.04	7	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	8	42%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.08
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	12	61%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	14	50%	0.09	4	-0.13	6	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.06	0.03	17	50%	-0.01	5	-0.14	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	27.4	16.4	25.6	2.4	32.5	130.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +45.7%

MEM -6.0%

MEM -0.6%

UTA +9.1%

UTA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.4	120.2	95.8	105.7
season	15.5	14.9		111.2	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.0		109.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.9	15.4	13.5	16.0	14.9
MEM	17.1	15.2	14.2	15.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	80	83	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.14	22	-1	23	14.6	16.9	-2.28	15.5	14.9	0.55
Andrei Kirilenko	60	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.29	27	-6	33	13.6	17.2	-3.59	15.3	15.6	-0.30
Mehmet Okur	81	85	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.21	22	-1	23	14.6	16.7	-2.06	15.4	15.1	0.34
Kyle Korver	46	47	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.26	21	0	21	15.7	14.1	1.57	15.3	15.5	-0.28
Paul Millsap	44	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	10	1	16.5	13.5	2.98	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Carlos Boozer	59	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	15	-9	13.8	16.7	-2.91	15.9	14.6	1.30
Ronnie Brewer	48	49	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	21	-21	14.1	15.7	-1.57	15.5	15.3	0.28
Jarron Collins	4	3	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	18	-15	19.2	14.7	4.53	7.0	15.7	-8.67
Matt Harpring	34	32	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.17	-6	27	-33	17.2	13.6	3.59	15.6	15.3	0.30
Ronnie Price	14	13	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	22	-23	16.9	14.6	2.28	14.9	15.5	-0.55

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	73	71	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-19	17	15.4	15.3	0.18	15.0	14.8	0.18
Kyle Lowry	37	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.15	-9	-12	3	14.9	15.7	-0.73	16.8	13.6	3.21
Brian Cardinal	34	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-19	17	15.2	15.5	-0.25	16.4	14.1	2.28
Javaris Crittenton	34	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-15	9	15.1	15.6	-0.52	16.6	13.9	2.70
Juan Carlos Navarro	62	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.18	-15	-6	-9	15.6	15.1	0.52	13.9	16.6	-2.70
Hakim Warrick	78	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.17	-19	-2	-17	15.0	17.0	-1.97	14.7	15.8	-1.16
Mike Conley	59	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-9	-3	15.7	14.9	0.73	13.6	16.8	-3.21
Jason Collins	18	18	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	-1	-19	14.7	15.6	-0.83	14.3	15.1	-0.72
Rudy Gay	85	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	-1	-19	15.9	11.5	4.45	14.6	17.6	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.07,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 105, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.1%
CHI 96, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0	93.4%
SAC 107, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.9%