NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	117		Excitement	6.9 [392]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): +47.4%
Golden State Warriors	120		Comeback	20.6 [126]		LVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): -13.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2	0.21	0.03	0.04	20	76%	0.24	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.00	0.04	8	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.03	-0.03	22	50%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Dominic McGuire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.13	-0.06	-0.09	-0.03	13	38%	-0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.07,-0.13	-0.08	-0.12	-0.06	17	44%	0.01	4	-0.15	7	71%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.12,0.47	0.47	0.23	0.27	0.03	18	77%	0.57	4	-0.10	17	88%	0.03
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	18	55%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	18	50%	0.10	3	-0.05	8	50%	-0.05
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	44%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	14	59%	-0.01	5	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.7	31.0	15.4	24.6	1.7	36.0	136.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +21.7%

GSW +8.5%

GSW +17.2%

GSW +3.1%

WAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	GSW	NBA	WAS	GSW	NBA
this game	16.4	12.4	15.4	117.0	120.0	105.7
season	16.1	13.5		106.8	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.5		107.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.2	16.1	18.5	17.3	16.4
GSW	12.0	13.2	11.5	12.7	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	62	62	0.47	-0.97	1.44	0.06	14	-17	31	16.0	17.2	-1.29	13.5	10.5	2.96
Dominic McGuire	43	43	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.05	4	-7	11	16.5	16.4	0.17	11.5	13.0	-1.49
Darius Songaila	42	42	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-5	7	17.0	16.1	0.92	11.5	13.0	-1.48
Roger Mason Jr.	85	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.45	5	-8	13	15.9	19.4	-3.48	12.9	9.7	3.18
Antawn Jamison	91	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.48	0	-3	3	16.3	18.1	-1.84	12.5	11.0	1.51
DeShawn Stevenson	86	88	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.54	-5	2	-7	16.2	17.9	-1.73	12.2	13.8	-1.67
Andray Blatche	50	51	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.37	-15	12	-27	16.7	16.1	0.60	12.6	12.1	0.47
Nick Young	41	40	-0.92	0.41	-1.33	-0.33	-20	17	-37	18.1	15.3	2.85	11.2	13.1	-1.98

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	67	67	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	-7	17	12.1	12.9	-0.82	17.0	15.3	1.74
Andris Biedrins	48	47	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.49	4	-1	5	11.9	12.7	-0.81	16.7	16.2	0.57
Stephen Jackson	87	87	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-3	9	12.2	13.3	-1.09	16.4	16.5	-0.11
Monta Ellis	97	97	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-5	13	12.4	11.3	1.06	16.4	16.7	-0.23
Baron Davis	92	92	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.55	-3	6	-9	12.2	13.9	-1.65	16.6	14.6	1.97
Kelenna Azubuike	0	1	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	3	-3	0.0	12.4	-12.36	8.0	16.5	-8.53
Mickael Pietrus	24	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	5	-7	13.2	12.1	1.17	16.1	16.6	-0.48
Matt Barnes	54	54	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	5	-7	12.4	12.3	0.10	16.5	16.3	0.21
Chris Webber	31	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	9	-15	13.5	11.8	1.68	14.7	17.2	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.22,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, LAL 100	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.24,0.18,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,1	91.9%
ATL 88, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.13,0.22,0.27,1	91.8%
ATL 93, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.16,1	91.0%