NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	5.5 [686]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +19.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	97		Comeback	1.0 [574]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -14.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	-0.00	17	72%	0.29	4	-0.10	9	100%	0.04
Jordan Farmar	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.11	-0.01	8	59%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.01	0.05	11	76%	0.15	1	-0.02	12	67%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	67%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
DJ Mbenga	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	8	30%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.06	0.02	13	79%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.01	5	55%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	41%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	14	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.09	0.02	20	60%	0.07	6	-0.18	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	3.3	33.6	15.6	28.3	3.4	29.4	136.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +23.2%

LAL +17.1%

CHA -1.6%

LAL +8.9%

LAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHA	NBA	LAL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.1	17.4	15.4	115.2	106.6	105.7
season	14.6	15.8		110.6	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.2		107.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.8	13.0	15.5	16.7	14.1
CHA	17.7	15.8	20.5	16.0	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	67	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-5	19	13.4	15.9	-2.43	17.2	17.8	-0.65
Lamar Odom	62	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-5	19	13.6	15.1	-1.47	17.8	16.5	1.32
Derek Fisher	62	60	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-2	13	13.5	15.4	-1.87	16.9	18.3	-1.42
Kobe Bryant	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	3	3	14.2	13.7	0.45	17.6	16.1	1.50
Luke Walton	39	40	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	8	-7	15.9	12.8	3.10	16.9	17.7	-0.78
Vladimir Radmanovic	49	47	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	4	1	12.8	15.6	-2.77	17.5	17.3	0.22
Jordan Farmar	35	36	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	8	-7	14.9	13.6	1.21	17.9	17.1	0.79
DJ Mbenga	10	10	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	9	-9	14.7	14.0	0.66	16.7	17.5	-0.77
Sasha Vujacic	30	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	11	-13	15.4	13.5	1.87	18.3	16.9	1.42
Ronny Turiaf	29	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	14	-19	15.1	13.6	1.50	16.3	17.9	-1.57

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	35	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.24	6	-15	21	16.0	18.2	-2.25	15.9	12.9	2.98
Earl Boykins	15	15	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-1	-7	21.1	16.7	4.41	14.4	14.1	0.35
Emeka Okafor	61	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-4	-1	17.6	17.0	0.52	13.4	15.7	-2.36
Jason Richardson	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-3	-3	18.4	14.9	3.50	14.2	14.0	0.16
Jared Dudley	55	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-7	5	16.0	19.5	-3.45	14.5	13.6	0.86
Jeff McInnis	69	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	3	-15	17.3	17.8	-0.51	13.2	16.8	-3.57
Raymond Felton	85	87	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-4	-1	17.2	20.3	-3.16	14.3	11.0	3.29
Nazr Mohammed	71	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.13	-13	4	-17	17.6	16.5	1.13	14.1	14.1	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 84, IND 75	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.12,0.02,0,0	93.9%
PHX 117, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.1,0.07,0,0,0,0	93.9%
PHI 98, CHA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.11,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	93.9%