inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 101 Excitement8.5 [160] MVPBen Gordon (CHI): +51.6%
Sacramento Kings 105 Comeback2.8 [553] LVPJohn Salmons (SAC): -22.1%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon0.520,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.520.190.330.001969%0.541-0.0210100%0.11
Joe Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00756%0.041-0.04250%-0.01
Chris Duhon-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.020.00167%0.052-0.054100%0.03
Thabo Sefolosha-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01440%-0.001-0.0420%-0.02
Ben Wallace-0.080,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.050.02656%-0.003-0.08425%-0.05
Kirk Hinrich-0.100,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.10.06-0.110.051362%-0.032-0.06367%-0.00
Andres Nocioni-0.100,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1-0.04-0.060.00945%0.002-0.102100%0.01
Tyrus Thomas-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.060.00633%-0.061-0.043100%0.01
Joakim Noah-0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12-0.01-0.080.03662%-0.033-0.084100%0.02
Viktor Khryapa-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.11-0.050.0030%-0.063-0.0900%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.190.050.031281%0.241-0.038100%0.05
Metta World Peace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.190.190.100.110.022061%0.252-0.06683%0.01
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.02-0.01850%0.0600.002100%0.01
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.012100%0.071-0.031100%0.00
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.010.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.010.011647%0.042-0.071580%0.06
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.0050%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14-0.14-0.17-0.01-0.04919%-0.054-0.10367%-0.04
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.15-0.08-0.011036%-0.025-0.205100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.331.515.629.22.538.4146.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +1.5%
SAC +2.4%
SAC +34.5%
SAC +4.6%
SAC +6.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHISACNBACHISACNBA
this game14.014.915.4102.0105.0105.7
season15.014.9102.2105.6
opponent15.015.5108.0105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.313.914.514.614.0
SAC15.012.318.314.814.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Duhon38380.15-0.650.80-0.088-122013.614.3-0.7914.715.0-0.35
Joe Smith34350.07-0.570.63-0.085-91413.314.4-1.0914.315.2-0.95
Tyrus Thomas32320.05-0.550.61-0.095-91413.214.4-1.1715.614.61.07
Viktor Khryapa43440.03-0.530.55-0.156-101613.414.5-1.1015.714.21.48
Ben Gordon7374-0.15-0.350.21-0.4410-142413.316.1-2.7614.715.5-0.76
Thabo Sefolosha3030-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-128-2015.913.22.7214.415.1-0.67
Andres Nocioni5656-0.530.03-0.55-0.23-106-1614.513.41.1014.215.7-1.48
Ben Wallace7171-0.570.07-0.63-0.30-95-1414.513.01.5015.313.91.36
Joakim Noah5758-0.620.12-0.75-0.30-117-1814.313.70.6514.914.9-0.05
Kirk Hinrich6162-0.650.15-0.80-0.30-128-2014.313.60.7915.014.70.35

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Bibby66640.95-0.451.390.4218-143214.415.9-1.4913.714.7-1.04
Kevin Martin76740.66-0.160.830.2813-92214.815.3-0.5714.114.00.05
Metta World Peace80780.58-0.080.650.2810-61615.114.01.0614.113.90.17
Brad Miller79800.500.000.490.268-41215.114.20.9014.313.11.16
John Salmons68660.270.230.040.41-59-1415.214.30.8613.714.8-1.08
Mikki Moore50510.060.44-0.380.12-26-814.715.1-0.4014.114.00.04
Spencer Hawes17160.050.45-0.400.11-26-814.215.0-0.8013.614.1-0.50
Francisco Garcia2425-0.160.66-0.830.10-913-2215.314.80.5714.014.1-0.05
Beno Udrih4041-0.390.89-1.29-0.07-1115-2615.014.80.1714.813.51.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.62,0.76,0.72,0.59,0.35,0.46,0.47,0.79,0.84,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 89, BOS 980.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.84,0.94,0.99,191.7%
MIN 80, IND 870.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.81,0.78,0.95,191.7%
DAL 89, LAC 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.69,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.79,0.78,0.96,191.6%