NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	89		Excitement	9.5 [75]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (LAC): +39.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	91		Comeback	2.6 [326]		LVP	Caron Butler (LAC): -22.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,0.32	-0.07	0.39	0.00	13	46%	0.46	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19	0.05	0.13	-0.00	7	62%	0.21	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.08	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Delonte West	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.07	0.01	14	55%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	4	42%	-0.06	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	18	45%	0.02	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.4	0.40	-0.01	0.42	0.02	19	51%	0.54	3	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.17	0.11	0.00	15	81%	0.35	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.00	13	70%	0.26	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	10	24%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	15	37%	-0.07	3	-0.07	8	25%	-0.13
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.15	-0.07	-0.00	12	8%	-0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.8	34.3	18.8	31.2	3.5	48.3	162.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +18.9%

DAL -14.4%

LAC +20.1%

LAC +14.3%

LAC +11.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	16.3	16.2	15.6	101.1	102.2	102.8
season	15.5	16.2		101.6	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		104.5	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.0	17.3	16.8	14.2	16.3
LAC	13.7	17.9	16.0	17.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	44	45	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.12	10	-12	22	16.2	16.4	-0.16	16.4	16.0	0.38
Rodrigue Beaubois	11	12	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.03	5	-7	12	17.0	16.2	0.77	16.2	16.2	-0.05
Brian Cardinal	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-2	2	18.3	16.2	2.13	13.3	16.4	-3.09
Ian Mahinmi	40	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.33	7	-9	16	15.7	16.8	-1.06	15.2	17.1	-1.98
Jason Terry	57	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-6	10	15.4	18.0	-2.63	15.8	17.0	-1.18
Brendan Haywood	48	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	7	-16	16.8	15.7	1.06	17.1	15.2	1.98
Delonte West	43	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	12	-26	18.2	14.6	3.59	16.7	15.7	1.01
Jason Kidd	65	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-3	4	15.8	17.8	-1.97	16.2	16.1	0.13
Dirk Nowitzki	58	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	3	-8	16.5	16.0	0.55	16.9	14.6	2.38
Shawn Marion	67	65	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.38	-9	7	-16	16.0	17.3	-1.32	15.7	17.7	-2.05

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	65	64	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.49	7	-5	12	15.7	17.5	-1.82	16.2	16.7	-0.46
Chauncey Billups	57	58	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.34	11	-9	20	16.9	15.0	1.89	16.6	15.8	0.80
Blake Griffin	72	73	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-8	18	15.9	17.4	-1.48	16.1	17.5	-1.45
Caron Butler	65	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	0	2	16.9	14.2	2.69	16.2	16.8	-0.61
Mo Williams	66	64	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.34	-6	8	-14	16.2	16.3	-0.12	15.7	18.1	-2.41
Randy Foye	55	54	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	3	-4	15.5	17.3	-1.75	16.8	15.6	1.26
Solomon Jones	6	5	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	2	-2	18.5	16.0	2.45	19.4	16.1	3.26
Ryan Gomes	24	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	2	-2	14.2	16.9	-2.69	16.8	16.2	0.61
Reggie Evans	35	34	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.11	-13	15	-28	17.3	15.5	1.81	16.6	16.1	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.69,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.79,0.78,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 91, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.89,1,1,1	92.4%
DAL 92, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	92.3%
MIN 80, IND 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.81,0.78,0.95,1	91.9%