NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	110		Excitement	3.8 [1026]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +8.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	91		Comeback	1.0 [1154]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -17.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	56%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.01	0.04	6	108%	0.11	3	-0.05	1	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	55%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Ronnie Price	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	67%	0.05	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	52%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	11	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	18	47%	0.01	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	9	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	10	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	63%	0.06	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.08	5	71%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	11	38%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	-0.06	13	48%	0.08	6	-0.10	3	33%	-0.00
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	13	41%	-0.04	3	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	15	42%	-0.06	6	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	25.6	16.3	27.6	2.2	28.4	126.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +20.8%

UTA +4.5%

UTA +0.5%

UTA +21.4%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	14.6	14.0	15.4	108.9	90.1	105.7
season	15.5	14.9		111.2	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.0		109.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.1	16.2	13.0	14.4	14.6
MEM	14.3	17.2	12.3	12.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	68	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	8	3	14.4	14.9	-0.57	14.4	12.9	1.54
Mehmet Okur	74	75	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.04	13	6	7	14.2	15.4	-1.16	14.8	11.7	3.11
Kyle Korver	48	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	13	-7	15.2	14.0	1.25	14.8	13.2	1.58
Carlos Boozer	73	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	8	3	14.0	16.0	-2.00	13.8	14.4	-0.57
Andrei Kirilenko	48	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	9	1	14.1	15.0	-0.94	13.2	14.6	-1.39
Paul Millsap	43	40	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.22	16	3	13	15.7	13.7	1.91	13.4	14.3	-0.97
Matt Harpring	34	34	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.19	14	5	9	15.2	14.2	0.94	15.7	13.1	2.63
Ronnie Brewer	53	53	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.19	13	6	7	14.0	15.2	-1.25	13.2	14.8	-1.58
Ronnie Price	43	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	16	-13	14.4	14.7	-0.28	13.0	14.7	-1.67
Jarron Collins	12	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	21	-23	15.9	14.4	1.55	11.8	14.2	-2.41
CJ Miles	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	14.7	14.5	0.16	12.7	14.3	-1.57

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	29	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	13.0	14.4	-1.40	16.1	13.9	2.17
Casey Jacobsen	31	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-17	15	12.7	14.5	-1.76	16.2	13.8	2.44
Andre Brown	25	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.20	-9	-10	1	13.7	14.1	-0.37	15.2	14.3	0.81
Juan Carlos Navarro	69	69	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	-11	3	13.7	14.6	-0.88	14.2	15.3	-1.16
Kyle Lowry	84	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-14	9	13.8	14.8	-1.04	14.8	13.1	1.73
Darko Milicic	76	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-9	-1	14.1	13.7	0.37	14.3	15.2	-0.81
Rudy Gay	84	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-3	-13	13.9	14.1	-0.12	14.3	15.9	-1.60
Hakim Warrick	48	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.28	-25	6	-31	14.9	13.1	1.74	14.0	15.0	-1.00
Mike Miller	59	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.15	-23	4	-27	14.9	12.6	2.38	13.7	15.7	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, HOU 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
SAS 103, NJN 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
BOS 116, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%