NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	6.0 [581]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +21.7%
Washington Wizards	87		Comeback	2.7 [628]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -17.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.06	0.04	16	77%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	9	48%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.03	0.03	0.01	11	53%	0.06	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.04	-0.03	14	39%	0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	9	18%	-0.10	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.08	-0.06	11	60%	0.22	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.02	0.04	17	66%	0.17	1	-0.02	13	85%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	71%	0.06	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	9	21%	-0.15	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Andray Blatche	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.09	0.04	17	51%	0.00	5	-0.17	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.3	27.6	19.4	30.4	3.5	36.4	145.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.6%

WAS -11.6%

UTA +14.2%

WAS -1.0%

UTA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	WAS	NBA	UTA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	15.4	104.3	94.6	105.7
season	15.5	16.1		111.2	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.0		107.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.2	17.5	12.5	14.7	15.2
WAS	15.1	16.8	18.0	14.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	46	45	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.16	17	-8	25	16.0	14.4	1.61	15.7	16.6	-0.91
Matt Harpring	41	43	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.11	18	-9	27	15.8	14.6	1.18	17.9	14.6	3.34
Mehmet Okur	81	79	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-4	17	15.2	14.8	0.40	16.0	16.9	-0.92
Paul Millsap	34	36	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.01	20	-11	31	15.8	14.8	0.94	18.0	14.9	3.12
Deron Williams	67	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	3	3	15.0	15.6	-0.53	16.4	15.3	1.08
Ronnie Price	25	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	6	-3	15.6	15.0	0.53	15.3	16.4	-1.08
Jarron Collins	3	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	13	-17	20.7	15.0	5.68	24.7	15.7	9.01
Carlos Boozer	66	65	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	20	-31	14.6	16.7	-2.17	14.7	19.6	-4.85
Andrei Kirilenko	51	49	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.13	-9	18	-27	14.6	15.8	-1.18	14.6	17.9	-3.34
Ronnie Brewer	46	47	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	17	-25	14.4	16.0	-1.61	16.6	15.7	0.91

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	20	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-5	1	16.3	16.1	0.22	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Brendan Haywood	62	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-8	7	16.6	15.1	1.58	15.6	14.3	1.30
Antonio Daniels	78	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-6	3	16.7	13.1	3.52	14.9	16.7	-1.82
Roger Mason Jr.	28	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	3	-15	17.4	15.6	1.76	15.9	14.9	0.98
Antawn Jamison	77	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-7	5	15.6	19.0	-3.43	15.5	13.9	1.58
Andray Blatche	79	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-7	5	16.6	13.5	3.02	14.5	19.5	-5.08
DeShawn Stevenson	68	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-7	5	15.6	17.6	-2.02	15.2	15.1	0.12
Nick Young	18	19	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-4	-1	11.9	17.2	-5.27	14.7	15.3	-0.62
Darius Songaila	30	31	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.12	-14	5	-19	16.5	16.0	0.50	16.1	14.7	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 85, DEN 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0	94.0%
UTA 82, HOU 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.01,0	93.9%
DAL 106, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.02,0,0.03,0.11,0,0.01,0	93.3%