NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	108		Excitement	8.5 [158]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +39.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	1.6 [655]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -17.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.39	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.39	0.12	0.28	0.01	15	68%	0.43	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.08
Carlos Arroyo	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.07	0.22	0.01	8	70%	0.31	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Maurice Evans	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.09	-0.00	7	93%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.04	-0.02	5	83%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	59%	0.12	5	-0.12	9	56%	-0.04
Pat Garrity	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	8	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.1,-0.1	0.05	-0.14	0.02	15	58%	-0.03	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.12	-0.01	12	56%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.00	-0.00	12	67%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	4	64%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.05	0.00	13	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.18	-0.18	-0.00	-0.16	0.01	18	62%	0.05	6	-0.22	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	36.1	14.8	24.1	2.6	34.2	139.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +33.8%

ORL +33.4%

ORL +20.4%

PHI -36.7%

PHI -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	15.1	15.4	116.1	115.2	105.7
season	15.1	15.2		109.9	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.6		104.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.2	15.1	15.2	20.8	16.1
PHI	14.1	14.3	16.1	16.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	65	64	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-4	10	16.8	14.3	2.49	15.3	14.5	0.81
Dwight Howard	80	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	-2	6	15.8	17.6	-1.80	14.4	19.0	-4.58
Rashard Lewis	80	79	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	-3	8	15.6	18.6	-2.97	14.9	16.1	-1.18
Keith Bogans	49	48	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.50	-1	3	-4	16.9	15.2	1.68	16.0	14.0	1.95
Keyon Dooling	33	28	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	-2	6	16.7	15.7	0.93	15.1	15.1	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	46	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	-6	14	16.4	15.7	0.73	15.6	14.5	1.04
Maurice Evans	58	56	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-2	6	16.0	16.1	-0.08	15.2	14.9	0.29
Adonal Foyle	13	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	4	-6	17.6	15.8	1.80	19.0	14.4	4.58
Pat Garrity	10	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.03	-3	5	-8	14.2	16.3	-2.09	10.4	15.6	-5.23
Brian Cook	17	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	7	-12	14.1	16.5	-2.45	14.7	15.2	-0.48
Jameer Nelson	14	16	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	12	-22	13.4	16.5	-3.10	13.6	15.4	-1.82

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	45	45	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-6	10	14.6	15.6	-1.00	15.4	16.7	-1.33
Reggie Evans	44	44	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.13	5	-7	12	14.9	15.2	-0.26	15.2	16.8	-1.55
Kevin Ollie	19	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-2	2	16.1	14.8	1.31	18.8	15.3	3.55
Willie Green	42	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	5	-12	14.4	15.6	-1.17	15.7	16.4	-0.64
Lou Williams	54	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.49	7	-9	16	15.3	14.7	0.56	16.1	16.1	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	59	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	2	-6	14.6	15.8	-1.22	15.6	16.8	-1.17
Andre Miller	69	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	2	-6	15.0	15.3	-0.32	15.5	17.8	-2.34
Andre Iguodala	61	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	2	-6	16.4	12.4	4.04	17.6	12.9	4.72
Thaddeus Young	67	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	5	-12	14.6	16.2	-1.56	16.0	16.2	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.24,0.22,0.45,0.46,0.22,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.27,0	91.9%
CLE 104, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.33,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.58,0	91.9%
SAS 102, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.31,0.43,0.27,0	91.7%