NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	6.2 [543]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +24.9%
Boston Celtics	116		Comeback	3.3 [794]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -16.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	57%	0.05	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.02
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	53%	0.05	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Lou Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	8	45%	0.01	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	11	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.05
Samuel Dalembert	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	20	40%	-0.03	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.10	0.00	9	96%	0.38	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	14	82%	0.23	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	62%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.05	0.11	11	68%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.01	0.04	5	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gabe Pruitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	12	42%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.4	31.3	15.7	33.3	1.8	33.2	145.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +53.4%

BOS +13.3%

PHI -40.1%

BOS +22.7%

BOS +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	16.7	15.7	15.4	100.0	130.3	105.7
season	15.2	15.6		104.0	108.0
opponent	15.9	16.2		98.3	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.0	16.5	19.2	14.5	16.7
BOS	15.8	14.8	16.8	15.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	42	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.22	-9	-18	9	19.9	13.8	6.12	16.0	15.4	0.64
Jason Smith	34	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-19	11	14.6	17.9	-3.28	17.2	14.8	2.38
Rodney Carney	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-18	9	13.0	19.0	-6.01	14.8	16.3	-1.51
Thaddeus Young	40	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	-17	7	13.9	18.9	-5.04	14.9	16.4	-1.50
Willie Green	59	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.40	-22	-5	-17	17.5	15.1	2.42	15.4	16.2	-0.82
Samuel Dalembert	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	-8	-11	18.2	13.9	4.25	15.2	16.7	-1.48
Lou Williams	47	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-12	-3	13.6	20.1	-6.57	14.6	16.8	-2.18
Andre Miller	59	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	-6	-15	18.4	13.4	4.99	16.8	13.7	3.12
Andre Iguodala	71	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.17	-22	-5	-17	17.9	12.0	5.86	16.1	13.9	2.18

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	29	29	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.28	26	1	25	16.3	15.4	0.93	14.4	17.8	-3.40
Kevin Garnett	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.17	20	7	13	15.6	15.9	-0.25	18.1	12.7	5.42
Paul Pierce	52	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	14	-1	16.0	15.3	0.66	18.7	13.8	4.99
Eddie House	64	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.42	26	1	25	14.9	17.8	-2.94	17.0	16.0	0.95
James Posey	41	41	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.27	20	7	13	15.5	15.9	-0.41	14.1	18.8	-4.69
Glen Davis	16	15	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	19	-11	18.3	15.1	3.20	16.6	16.7	-0.09
Tony Allen	42	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	16	-5	15.3	16.0	-0.67	13.7	19.2	-5.50
Ray Allen	67	69	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	18	-9	15.9	15.2	0.67	17.6	13.5	4.09
Gabe Pruitt	16	17	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	26	-25	18.6	15.1	3.51	15.6	16.9	-1.27
Kendrick Perkins	40	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	28	-29	14.4	16.7	-2.29	18.8	14.9	3.95
Brian Scalabrine	12	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.20	2	25	-23	15.7	15.7	-0.02	11.4	17.4	-6.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.76,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
CHA 96, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
PHI 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	93.0%