NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	90		Excitement	6.4 [509]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +30.6%
Boston Celtics	100		Comeback	2.7 [727]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -16.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	89%	0.22	5	-0.17	3	100%	0.02
Martell Webster	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.00	12	61%	0.08	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	16	55%	0.09	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.02	-0.09	0.04	12	57%	-0.01	4	-0.16	4	50%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.31	0.31	0.25	0.10	0.05	20	73%	0.31	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	17	60%	0.16	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Gabe Pruitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	11	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	11	55%	-0.08
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	34.7	17.7	29.4	2.4	38.3	150.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +6.5%

POR -1.5%

BOS +11.1%

BOS +38.2%

POR -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	16.8	14.2	15.4	96.8	107.5	105.7
season	16.7	15.6		105.5	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.4		98.3	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.5	17.0	16.5	17.2	16.8
BOS	14.1	13.8	14.8	14.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	47	47	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-12	14	17.2	16.3	0.93	14.3	14.1	0.17
Sergio Rodriguez	10	9	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-13	16	16.1	16.9	-0.76	18.3	13.7	4.58
Raef LaFrentz	2	2	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-13	16	17.5	16.8	0.74	4.5	14.4	-9.91
Jarrett Jack	52	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-11	12	16.8	16.7	0.12	15.0	13.2	1.79
Martell Webster	45	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-1	-8	16.5	17.0	-0.55	13.7	14.7	-0.95
James Jones	50	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-7	4	16.7	16.9	-0.25	14.1	14.3	-0.24
LaMarcus Aldridge	52	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	1	-12	16.6	17.0	-0.40	14.4	13.9	0.56
Channing Frye	24	22	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.09	-9	-1	-8	17.2	16.6	0.53	14.4	14.1	0.28
Travis Outlaw	59	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-7	4	16.7	16.9	-0.22	14.6	13.4	1.19
Brandon Roy	79	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	0	-10	16.7	17.4	-0.77	13.7	17.2	-3.44
Steve Blake	45	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	4	-18	17.1	16.5	0.57	13.3	15.0	-1.72

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	66	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-7	24	13.7	15.4	-1.71	16.5	17.4	-0.90
Paul Pierce	70	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-6	22	13.8	15.4	-1.65	16.3	18.1	-1.76
Ray Allen	83	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	1	8	13.8	17.8	-4.04	17.0	14.5	2.55
Kevin Garnett	75	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-1	12	13.5	17.2	-3.76	16.5	17.8	-1.28
Kendrick Perkins	49	50	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.04	12	-2	14	13.2	15.2	-2.01	17.1	16.4	0.66
James Posey	49	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	13	-16	15.2	13.1	2.09	16.8	16.7	0.13
Tony Allen	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	13	-16	15.0	13.8	1.19	16.8	16.8	-0.01
Glen Davis	23	22	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.17	-6	16	-22	17.0	13.3	3.73	17.6	16.5	1.13
Gabe Pruitt	20	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	13	-16	17.2	13.4	3.89	17.1	16.7	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 88, NYK 97	0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
PHX 94, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
MIA 83, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.5%