NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	123		Excitement	12.0 [17]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +34.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	121		Comeback	9.9 [180]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -39.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.28,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.35	0.09	0.25	-0.00	44	51%	0.49	1	-0.14	7	57%	-0.03
Jordan Farmar	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.08	0.00	6	100%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	6	64%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	10	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	6	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	5	74%	0.16	2	-0.07	9	89%	0.03
Kwame Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	4	71%	0.14	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Luke Walton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Lamar Odom	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.39	-0.17	-0.28	-0.06	15	20%	-0.39	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.28	0.28	0.08	0.19	-0.01	16	63%	0.34	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.15	0.01	8	73%	0.25	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.05
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	11	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	0.00	9	63%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.05	-0.03	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.17	-0.00	12	42%	-0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.29	-0.29	-0.11	-0.18	-0.00	26	33%	-0.29	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.2	2.0	31.2	16.4	25.4	3.2	31.5	2.4	16.2	155.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.1%

LAL +12.2%

SEA -2.5%

SEA -1.0%

LAL +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	14.5	13.7	15.4	107.9	109.0	105.7
season	14.6	14.5		110.6	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.2		107.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	14.7	13.6	13.8	16.1	15.2	14.5
SEA	10.6	12.6	14.5	15.9	20.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	100	96	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.61	-1	3	-4	14.7	13.4	1.26	13.2	17.0	-3.79
Trevor Ariza	49	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	-12	26	14.1	14.9	-0.76	14.4	13.2	1.16
Kobe Bryant	91	87	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.43	-3	5	-8	14.9	13.3	1.60	13.6	14.3	-0.78
Kwame Brown	81	79	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.48	-5	7	-12	15.1	13.2	1.86	14.0	13.0	1.01
Jordan Farmar	41	40	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	-7	16	14.4	14.6	-0.26	13.8	13.6	0.20
Luke Walton	73	69	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.44	-5	7	-12	14.6	14.5	0.07	13.2	14.6	-1.48
Derek Fisher	74	71	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.37	-7	9	-16	14.5	14.6	-0.10	13.6	13.8	-0.20
Javaris Crittenton	23	24	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	-3	8	13.3	14.9	-1.60	14.3	13.6	0.78
Ronny Turiaf	38	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.13	3	-1	4	13.7	14.9	-1.20	14.6	13.3	1.30

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	47	53	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.19	5	-7	12	14.7	13.0	1.74	14.7	14.4	0.23
Chris Wilcox	38	39	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.06	6	-8	14	12.2	14.5	-2.26	13.6	15.0	-1.40
Jeff Green	76	77	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-7	12	13.8	13.6	0.13	14.9	13.8	1.03
Damien Wilkins	0	1	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-2	2	0.0	13.7	-13.72	5.0	14.6	-9.62
Wally Szczerbiak	63	69	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-3	4	13.2	14.4	-1.26	14.4	14.7	-0.25
Delonte West	19	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	2	-6	14.6	13.5	1.04	13.6	14.7	-1.10
Johan Petro	9	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	7	-16	13.7	13.7	-0.06	11.5	14.9	-3.41
Kurt Thomas	75	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.62	9	-11	20	13.5	14.2	-0.70	15.4	12.9	2.48
Nick Collison	77	78	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.43	-11	9	-20	14.7	11.4	3.29	15.0	13.5	1.51
Earl Watson	64	61	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.63	-7	5	-12	13.0	14.7	-1.74	14.4	14.7	-0.23
Kevin Durant	87	89	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.73	-5	3	-8	13.9	13.2	0.60	14.3	15.5	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.51,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.49,0.52,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.16,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.45,0.73,0	86.9%
LAL 110, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.58,0	86.8%
SAS 96, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.77,0.73,0	86.6%